Wabash
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #158
New Haven Semi-State Rank #39
Marion Regional Rank #7
Marion Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 4.4%
Advance to Regional 96.1%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating North Miami Invitational Northfield Invitational Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational South Adams Invitational Three Rivers Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/23 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,021 974 1,026 1,034 1,016 947 971
Team Adjusted Rating 974 1,026 1,034 1,016 947 971
State RankRunnerSeason Rating North Miami Invitational Northfield Invitational Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational South Adams Invitational Three Rivers Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
440  Dereck Vogel 9 17:32 NEI 17:14 17:38 17:40 17:29 17:36 17:38 17:37 17:16
688  Koby Prater 10 17:53 NEI 17:40 17:49 18:40 17:55 17:55 17:28 17:41 18:27
1,181  Tre Lopez 9 18:31 18:06 18:36 18:36 18:53 18:34 18:11
1,414  Jacob Bruss 11 18:48 18:54 18:51 19:05 18:52 18:29 18:34 19:02
Caleb Callahan 9 20:06 20:21 19:59 20:16 20:35 19:55 19:40
Jake Cisneros 11 20:19 NEI 20:55 20:58 20:08 20:13 19:40 20:35
Jimmy Smith 9 20:26 21:06 22:12 21:16 19:53 19:57 20:02
Michael Cordes 9 20:36 NEI 20:52 20:27 20:30
Wyatt Davis 9 21:49 22:42 22:37 21:54 20:35 21:40




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 4.4% 17.8 475 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.4
Regionals 96.1% 7.9 184 0.2 4.2 12.3 19.1 26.1 20.7 13.5
Sectionals 100% 4.3 123 0.3 72.4 23.4 3.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dereck Vogel 97.4% 92.9 97.2% 97.4%
Koby Prater 48.3% 116.3 46.0% 48.1%
Tre Lopez 4.4% 146.3 0.0% 0.1%
Jacob Bruss 4.4% 157.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dereck Vogel 100% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.0 3.7 4.3 4.8 5.4 6.1 7.3 7.8 7.9 7.6 7.2 6.4 5.2 4.1 3.2 2.8 2.0 100.0% 100.0%
Koby Prater 100% 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.5 3.5 4.1 4.5 5.3 5.5 6.0 100.0% 100.0%
Tre Lopez 100% 48.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Jacob Bruss 100% 56.5 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dereck Vogel 9.3 0.0 0.4 1.4 4.0 5.9 7.9 10.5 14.9 16.9 13.0 9.2 6.2 4.3 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Koby Prater 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 5.4 7.1 9.3 10.9 11.8 11.4 11.2 8.7 6.9 5.0 3.2 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.5
Tre Lopez 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.9 4.9 6.9 9.8
Jacob Bruss 30.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.0