West Noble
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #34
New Haven Semi-State Rank #7
West Noble Regional Rank #5
West Noble Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 23rd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 28.3%
Advance to Semi-State 50.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northeast Corner Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 452 450 533 459 457 426 371 551 435
Team Adjusted Rating 450 533 459 457 426 371 551 435
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northeast Corner Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
160  Dakota Thompson 10 16:49 16:36 17:36 16:45 16:26 16:46 16:38 16:49 16:52 16:44 17:34
187  Erick Contreras 12 16:56 16:20 16:58 16:55 16:55 16:48 16:40 17:26 16:50 17:27
306  Jordan Shoemaker 10 17:15 17:26 17:20 17:08 17:16 17:20 17:02 17:46 17:14 17:06
312  Justin Contreras 12 17:16 17:21 17:20 17:13 17:33 17:02 16:57 17:38 17:15
367  Abraham Longoria 9 17:23 17:43 17:31 17:44 17:28 17:22 17:15 17:17 17:15
898  Nathan Mast 9 18:10 18:53 18:05 18:08 17:54 18:04 18:26
901  Aden Burke 11 18:11 18:26 18:14 18:10 18:22 18:01 18:14 18:09 18:07
1,138  Michael Weaver 9 18:28 18:28 18:17 18:47 18:14 18:52 18:17 18:33




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 28.3% 21.4 497 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.4 3.5 5.3 5.9 5.6
Semi-State 50.5% 6.5 186 0.0 0.3 1.2 5.3 21.5 13.2 6.5 2.3 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 5.5 150 0.1 3.8 46.5 43.2 6.2 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 57 0.8 99.2 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dakota Thompson 40.6% 108.4 0.0 17.2% 26.0%
Erick Contreras 31.8% 119.6 4.9% 10.1%
Jordan Shoemaker 28.3% 152.5 0.0% 0.2%
Justin Contreras 28.3% 153.6 0.0% 0.1%
Abraham Longoria 28.3% 163.5 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Mast 28.3% 201.1 0.0% 0.0%
Aden Burke 28.3% 201.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dakota Thompson 99.2% 34.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 98.3% 98.9%
Erick Contreras 96.2% 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 92.3% 94.8%
Jordan Shoemaker 60.9% 60.7 20.9% 39.7%
Justin Contreras 59.8% 61.2 18.9% 37.4%
Abraham Longoria 52.7% 71.9 4.4% 18.2%
Nathan Mast 50.5% 136.4 0.0% 0.0%
Aden Burke 50.5% 136.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dakota Thompson 100% 23.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.3 4.8 5.3 6.2 6.9 7.8 8.4 8.5 100.0%
Erick Contreras 100% 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.6 3.1 4.4 5.3 6.4 7.5 100.0%
Jordan Shoemaker 100% 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Justin Contreras 100% 35.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 100.0%
Abraham Longoria 100% 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nathan Mast 100% 74.3 56.8%
Aden Burke 100% 74.4 56.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dakota Thompson 6.7 0.0 1.1 4.1 11.4 18.8 21.0 19.9 13.7 7.1 2.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Erick Contreras 8.1 0.2 1.2 3.3 8.0 14.5 20.0 21.5 19.2 8.4 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jordan Shoemaker 12.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 3.0 7.7 16.3 21.3 18.9 12.0 7.9 4.8 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Justin Contreras 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.8 6.6 14.7 19.8 18.7 13.9 8.9 5.4 3.2 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Abraham Longoria 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.5 9.4 14.3 18.2 15.9 11.0 8.1 5.3 3.8 2.8 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.3
Nathan Mast 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 2.1 2.7
Aden Burke 31.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.9