All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Columbus North Invitational |
Scottsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Big Blue Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Mid-Southern Conference |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Brown County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
9/2 |
9/5 |
9/9 |
9/12 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
626 |
583 |
623 |
551 |
|
600 |
669 |
|
636 |
662 |
765 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
583 |
623 |
551 |
|
600 |
669 |
|
636 |
662 |
765 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Columbus North Invitational |
Scottsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Big Blue Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Mid-Southern Conference |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Brown County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| 250 |
Ethan Fugate |
11 |
17:04 |
16:56 |
17:01 |
16:59 |
|
16:53 |
16:58 |
NEI |
17:03 |
17:19 |
17:55 |
| 346 |
Peyton Hollan |
11 |
17:16 |
17:09 |
17:07 |
17:02 |
|
17:36 |
17:36 |
NEI |
17:08 |
17:01 |
17:54 |
| 394 |
Brandon Riley |
12 |
17:22 |
17:06 |
17:12 |
17:08 |
|
17:18 |
17:05 |
NEI |
17:25 |
17:54 |
17:39 |
| 592 |
Chase Rusch |
11 |
17:43 |
17:57 |
18:14 |
17:28 |
|
17:24 |
17:46 |
NEI |
17:52 |
17:41 |
17:36 |
| 1,176 |
Luke Watts |
10 |
18:28 |
18:13 |
18:17 |
18:20 |
|
18:22 |
19:01 |
|
18:34 |
18:25 |
18:35 |
| 1,542 |
Xavier Rahe |
9 |
18:54 |
18:22 |
18:18 |
18:36 |
18:44 |
18:55 |
19:17 |
|
19:55 |
18:48 |
19:18 |
|
Ethan Bequeret |
11 |
19:40 |
20:33 |
20:10 |
20:15 |
19:50 |
19:32 |
20:06 |
|
19:46 |
19:20 |
20:32 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
11.9 |
330 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.8 |
5.3 |
10.6 |
14.9 |
17.3 |
14.9 |
12.1 |
7.9 |
6.9 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
1.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.3 |
110 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
77.0 |
16.4 |
5.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
53 |
0.4 |
99.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Fugate |
2.2% |
118.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.2% |
2.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Fugate |
100% |
50.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Peyton Hollan |
100% |
66.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Brandon Riley |
100% |
75.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Chase Rusch |
100% |
102.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87.0% |
| Luke Watts |
100% |
145.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.3% |
| Xavier Rahe |
100% |
162.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Fugate |
100% |
11.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
8.1 |
8.1 |
9.7 |
10.6 |
9.2 |
8.6 |
6.8 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Peyton Hollan |
100% |
16.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
8.2 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
10.6 |
8.9 |
10.2 |
7.8 |
7.0 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Brandon Riley |
100% |
18.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.4 |
5.9 |
7.4 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
9.7 |
10.3 |
9.4 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Chase Rusch |
100% |
25.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
5.3 |
6.9 |
8.0 |
11.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Luke Watts |
100% |
45.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Xavier Rahe |
100% |
56.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Fugate |
5.0 |
1.1 |
4.7 |
7.8 |
12.8 |
24.2 |
28.0 |
13.7 |
5.3 |
2.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Peyton Hollan |
7.0 |
|
0.4 |
0.8 |
2.7 |
6.0 |
14.6 |
25.7 |
23.6 |
15.1 |
8.1 |
2.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brandon Riley |
8.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.9 |
1.6 |
5.3 |
12.9 |
22.3 |
23.3 |
18.0 |
10.3 |
4.2 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Chase Rusch |
11.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
3.4 |
10.0 |
18.7 |
23.8 |
22.0 |
14.6 |
4.6 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Luke Watts |
19.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
9.5 |
12.8 |
18.2 |
26.6 |
15.1 |
6.5 |
2.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Xavier Rahe |
22.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
9.3 |
18.9 |
24.3 |
23.7 |
12.1 |
|
