All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Bellmont Invitational |
Celina Rotary Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
NE8 Conference |
Bellmont Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/23 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
511 |
628 |
578 |
615 |
498 |
617 |
554 |
587 |
495 |
461 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
628 |
578 |
615 |
498 |
617 |
554 |
587 |
495 |
461 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Bellmont Invitational |
Celina Rotary Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
NE8 Conference |
Bellmont Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 109 |
Justin Gephart |
12 |
16:37 |
16:33 |
16:39 |
16:37 |
16:29 |
16:46 |
16:37 |
16:46 |
16:44 |
16:38 |
| 140 |
Kyle Lawson |
10 |
16:45 |
16:48 |
16:52 |
16:35 |
16:35 |
16:48 |
16:45 |
17:13 |
16:38 |
16:46 |
| 397 |
Nevin Ryan |
11 |
17:23 |
18:20 |
17:43 |
18:15 |
17:39 |
18:00 |
17:59 |
17:50 |
17:25 |
17:10 |
| 498 |
Blaine Johnson |
10 |
17:33 |
18:03 |
17:59 |
18:03 |
17:16 |
17:50 |
17:31 |
17:23 |
17:27 |
17:21 |
| 780 |
Isaac Fuelling |
9 |
18:00 |
18:22 |
18:19 |
18:21 |
18:07 |
18:24 |
18:06 |
18:10 |
17:53 |
17:47 |
| 899 |
Lance Williamson |
12 |
18:08 |
18:01 |
17:58 |
18:18 |
18:11 |
19:02 |
18:18 |
18:09 |
19:26 |
17:55 |
| 963 |
Emerson Brown |
11 |
18:13 |
18:30 |
18:04 |
18:04 |
18:06 |
|
17:58 |
18:37 |
18:16 |
18:27 |
| 1,274 |
Jordan Garlinger |
9 |
18:35 |
18:22 |
18:20 |
18:22 |
|
18:34 |
19:16 |
|
|
|
| 1,424 |
Chase Kukelhan |
10 |
18:46 |
18:50 |
18:38 |
18:40 |
|
18:51 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
| 1,451 |
Nick Corral |
10 |
18:48 |
19:17 |
19:15 |
19:20 |
|
18:18 |
18:27 |
|
|
|
|
Ryan Boyle |
12 |
20:20 |
|
21:55 |
20:01 |
|
21:15 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
9.5 |
270 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
3.5 |
7.0 |
18.1 |
23.7 |
19.1 |
12.1 |
7.6 |
3.3 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.8 |
69 |
26.2 |
65.8 |
7.7 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
31 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Justin Gephart |
33.0% |
80.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
33.0% |
33.0% |
| Kyle Lawson |
10.4% |
90.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
10.4% |
10.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Justin Gephart |
100% |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
4.1 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Lawson |
100% |
35.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Nevin Ryan |
100% |
88.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
88.2% |
| Blaine Johnson |
100% |
103.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
62.4% |
| Isaac Fuelling |
100% |
135.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.9% |
| Lance Williamson |
100% |
144.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
| Emerson Brown |
100% |
148.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Justin Gephart |
100% |
3.3 |
0.1 |
27.9 |
16.8 |
15.7 |
12.6 |
9.5 |
7.0 |
5.0 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Lawson |
100% |
5.6 |
|
4.3 |
12.0 |
12.1 |
13.6 |
12.8 |
11.4 |
10.2 |
8.8 |
6.8 |
5.0 |
2.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nevin Ryan |
100% |
15.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
4.1 |
7.6 |
10.8 |
12.6 |
9.5 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Blaine Johnson |
100% |
21.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
6.1 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
5.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Isaac Fuelling |
100% |
36.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Lance Williamson |
100% |
41.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Emerson Brown |
100% |
44.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Justin Gephart |
1.0 |
79.1 |
19.5 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kyle Lawson |
1.4 |
18.3 |
72.2 |
9.0 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nevin Ryan |
4.6 |
|
|
9.6 |
27.2 |
20.6 |
15.8 |
9.8 |
6.9 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Blaine Johnson |
7.3 |
|
|
1.1 |
5.7 |
11.2 |
13.9 |
14.7 |
11.6 |
12.5 |
9.8 |
7.6 |
6.0 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Isaac Fuelling |
14.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
2.9 |
5.0 |
8.6 |
11.4 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
12.9 |
10.0 |
6.9 |
4.8 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
| Lance Williamson |
17.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
7.1 |
8.3 |
11.3 |
13.4 |
12.9 |
10.6 |
8.8 |
6.3 |
4.7 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
| Emerson Brown |
18.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
3.1 |
4.7 |
7.1 |
11.6 |
12.7 |
11.6 |
11.1 |
10.8 |
8.4 |
6.8 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
|
