Bluffton
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conf. Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
Date 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14
Team Rating
Team Adjusted Rating
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conf. Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
782  Aaron Carnall 10 18:00 18:19 17:48 17:37 18:19 18:02 18:10 17:52
1,460  Hudson Shalley 12 18:49 18:31 18:49 18:38 18:39 19:28 18:54 18:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Carnall 3.7% 120.0 3.7% 3.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Carnall 100% 35.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Hudson Shalley 95.8% 59.9 95.8% 95.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Carnall 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 1.4 2.4 3.2 5.1 6.5 9.3 13.2 14.0 11.1 9.3 8.2 5.6 4.0 2.2 1.8 0.9 0.8 0.2
Hudson Shalley 26.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.0 2.6 4.0 6.3