All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
County Challenge |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Delaware County Meet |
Maconaquah Invitational |
New Castle Invite |
Flashrock Invitational |
Connersville Invitational |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conference |
Delta Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
Date | |
8/19 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/5 |
9/9 |
9/12 |
9/16 |
9/19 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
Team Rating |
918 |
975 |
1,053 |
1,095 |
966 |
985 |
957 |
951 |
869 |
833 |
961 |
906 |
894 |
|
Team Adjusted Rating | |
975 |
1,053 |
1,095 |
966 |
985 |
957 |
951 |
869 |
833 |
961 |
906 |
894 |
|
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
County Challenge |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Delaware County Meet |
Maconaquah Invitational |
New Castle Invite |
Flashrock Invitational |
Connersville Invitational |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conference |
Delta Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
239 |
Cade Orchard |
12 |
17:01 |
17:16 |
17:05 |
17:16 |
17:08 |
17:12 |
17:10 |
16:51 |
16:55 |
16:45 |
16:56 |
17:04 |
16:53 |
17:02 |
679 |
Ryan Fox |
12 |
17:51 |
18:26 |
18:36 |
18:36 |
18:08 |
18:11 |
18:11 |
18:17 |
18:09 |
18:12 |
18:02 |
17:52 |
17:33 |
17:52 |
1,251 |
Kyle Wills |
12 |
18:34 |
18:11 |
18:28 |
18:16 |
19:11 |
18:46 |
18:34 |
18:15 |
18:44 |
17:48 |
18:55 |
18:45 |
18:40 |
|
1,449 |
Lucas Fox |
9 |
18:48 |
18:26 |
19:07 |
19:23 |
18:18 |
18:48 |
18:48 |
19:09 |
18:10 |
18:20 |
18:39 |
18:51 |
20:21 |
|
|
Cody Brelage |
11 |
19:18 |
20:03 |
20:01 |
20:17 |
19:24 |
19:26 |
19:19 |
19:24 |
18:58 |
19:20 |
19:33 |
18:53 |
19:01 |
|
|
Jarren Haggard |
9 |
19:27 |
19:55 |
19:58 |
20:14 |
19:37 |
19:40 |
19:42 |
20:00 |
20:03 |
19:57 |
19:48 |
19:31 |
19:07 |
|
|
Daylan Montero |
10 |
20:23 |
22:10 |
|
21:28 |
|
21:09 |
21:33 |
21:06 |
|
21:57 |
21:10 |
|
20:02 |
|
|
Sam Campbell |
10 |
20:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
7.1 |
167 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
6.4 |
15.2 |
37.9 |
35.1 |
3.8 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
3.9 |
97 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
11.3 |
80.1 |
6.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Cade Orchard |
0.4% |
109.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.5% |
0.5% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Cade Orchard |
100% |
59.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Ryan Fox |
47.1% |
119.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.1% |
47.1% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Cade Orchard |
100% |
9.1 |
|
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
4.8 |
7.1 |
13.7 |
20.7 |
20.6 |
16.5 |
7.3 |
3.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Ryan Fox |
100% |
25.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
5.6 |
|
100.0% |
Kyle Wills |
100% |
48.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
Lucas Fox |
100% |
58.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.3% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Cade Orchard |
3.3 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
32.3 |
58.5 |
5.2 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ryan Fox |
10.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
2.5 |
4.5 |
7.3 |
9.9 |
11.0 |
12.4 |
13.8 |
13.7 |
11.8 |
7.7 |
3.8 |
1.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
Kyle Wills |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.8 |
4.1 |
7.3 |
12.1 |
11.4 |
10.3 |
11.5 |
8.3 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
Lucas Fox |
25.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
3.1 |
4.4 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
|