All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Fairfield Invitational |
Warsaw Classic |
DeKalb Classic |
Marion Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
Fairfield Invite |
West Noble Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northeast Corner Conference |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/22 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/12 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
1,302 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,290 |
1,238 |
1,192 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,290 |
1,238 |
1,192 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Fairfield Invitational |
Warsaw Classic |
DeKalb Classic |
Marion Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
Fairfield Invite |
West Noble Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northeast Corner Conference |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 249 |
Colton Cripe |
10 |
17:03 |
NEI |
16:57 |
17:03 |
17:10 |
17:19 |
NEI |
16:55 |
16:49 |
17:04 |
17:04 |
16:57 |
17:04 |
| 885 |
AJ Miller |
9 |
18:07 |
NEI |
18:22 |
18:32 |
18:29 |
18:32 |
|
18:24 |
18:38 |
18:11 |
17:47 |
17:49 |
|
|
Ethan Wesseler |
12 |
19:57 |
NEI |
19:51 |
20:18 |
20:02 |
20:30 |
|
19:35 |
19:59 |
19:43 |
19:50 |
|
|
|
Christopher Lehman |
10 |
20:35 |
NEI |
21:33 |
21:27 |
20:16 |
20:53 |
|
20:55 |
20:47 |
20:24 |
20:08 |
|
|
|
Deron Corbin |
12 |
20:37 |
NEI |
21:22 |
21:13 |
22:09 |
21:37 |
|
|
21:15 |
20:29 |
20:09 |
|
|
|
Dillan Weatherton |
11 |
20:44 |
NEI |
21:26 |
21:05 |
|
20:53 |
|
20:51 |
20:35 |
20:45 |
20:24 |
|
|
|
Jared Hagerman |
10 |
20:56 |
|
|
22:03 |
|
21:29 |
|
21:21 |
20:08 |
20:10 |
|
|
|
|
Jaren Hagerman |
10 |
22:01 |
|
|
22:32 |
|
22:14 |
|
22:33 |
21:12 |
21:42 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
9.0 |
237 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7 |
99.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Colton Cripe |
0.1% |
123.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
0.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Colton Cripe |
86.6% |
60.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
86.6% |
86.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Colton Cripe |
100% |
16.5 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| AJ Miller |
69.9% |
53.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
69.9% |
69.9% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Colton Cripe |
9.3 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
6.4 |
8.4 |
9.5 |
10.4 |
10.0 |
10.2 |
9.1 |
7.3 |
6.1 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| AJ Miller |
34.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
|
