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State Rank #25
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
West Noble Regional Rank #4
Northrop Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 0th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Classic Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/19 8/22 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/9 9/16 9/16 9/23 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 376 386 340 373 391 365 866 372 848 342 416 380 434
Team Adjusted Rating 386 340 373 391 365 376 372 376 342 392 380 434
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Classic Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
91  Ryan Ruppert 11 16:32 16:34 16:05 16:22 16:31 16:16 16:26 16:30 16:43 16:35 17:10
163  Donny McArdle 9 16:49 16:58 16:55 16:50 16:43 16:37 16:50 16:33 16:48 16:58 16:56
229  Carter Cook 10 17:00 17:00 16:49 16:56 17:03 17:17 17:03 16:56 17:06 16:50 17:05
240  Keagan Stuckey 10 17:01 17:26 17:13 17:08 17:02 17:26 17:15 17:18 16:58 16:44 17:04
342  James Swinehart 12 17:15 17:04 17:14 17:22 17:28 17:02 17:16 16:48 18:00 17:14
370  Jarred Neff 10 17:19 17:11 17:00 17:15 17:37 17:10 17:00 21:06
509  Zach Johnson 11 17:34 17:43 17:32 17:49 17:27 17:28 17:52 17:33 17:30 17:31
699  Austin Richards 10 17:53 18:18 18:04 17:52 17:54 17:40 17:45 17:56 17:56 17:49
799  Dominic Gery 10 18:01 17:44 18:20 17:57 18:25 17:55 17:58
871  Logan Weaver 10 18:06 18:21 19:09 18:16 18:11 17:52 17:50 17:59
928  Aidan Sheppard 9 18:10 18:41 18:47 18:16 18:03 17:48 18:03
976  Eduardo Santoscoy 11 18:13 18:04 17:52 18:11 18:13 18:38 18:19
1,043  Reed Burton 11 18:19 18:27 18:08 18:21 18:03 18:23 18:31
1,104  Walker Carroll 12 18:23 18:36 18:11 18:31 18:17 18:11 18:36
1,113  Jack Schoff 11 18:24 19:06 18:41 18:39 18:20 18:05 18:09
1,294  Isaac Hunter 10 18:37 18:39 18:23 18:52
1,298  Jake Dunn 12 18:37 17:57 18:18 19:05 18:35 18:58
1,338  Joe Moore 11 18:40 18:43 18:19 18:39 19:03
1,354  Benjamin Falloon 12 18:41 18:34 18:14 18:48 18:42 18:13 20:01
1,547  Andrew Conarty 10 18:54 18:54 18:36 19:05 18:30 19:00 19:20
Reece Crowell 11 19:08 18:59 19:04 18:58 18:46 19:12 20:10
Derek Hockemeyer 10 19:16 19:12 18:33 19:28 18:30 20:18 19:30
Jackson McClain 10 19:18 17:48 17:40 19:57 20:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 5.3 176 0.3 4.2 11.5 18.7 20.6 18.3 15.4 7.5 2.7 0.7 0.5
Regionals 100% 4.2 110 0.4 7.2 29.8 26.0 18.8 12.0 6.0
Sectionals 100% 2.8 74 9.2 35.6 30.5 16.6 7.2 1.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ruppert 52.4% 70.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 52.4% 52.4%
Donny McArdle 6.6% 91.7 6.6% 6.6%
Carter Cook 0.6% 99.5 0.7% 0.7%
Keagan Stuckey 0.4% 99.5 0.5% 0.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ruppert 100% 18.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.9 3.9 5.0 5.1 4.5 4.4 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 4.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 2.9 3.3 2.3 99.8%
Donny McArdle 100% 39.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.5 2.1 93.9%
Carter Cook 100% 58.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 73.9%
Keagan Stuckey 100% 59.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 70.9%
James Swinehart 100% 78.6 26.5%
Zach Johnson 100% 103.7 1.7%
Austin Richards 100% 127.7 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ruppert 100% 9.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 5.2 13.0 10.6 10.6 8.7 7.9 6.6 7.2 6.1 5.0 4.1 4.4 2.8 2.3 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Donny McArdle 100% 17.8 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.5 3.1 4.1 5.0 5.6 5.1 6.9 7.1 6.7 6.9 5.5 5.9 5.1 4.6 4.2 3.3 100.0%
Carter Cook 100% 25.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.2 2.1 2.5 3.6 4.8 4.6 4.5 5.4 5.6 5.1 6.0 100.0%
Keagan Stuckey 100% 25.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.7 1.5 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.9 3.7 5.1 6.0 6.0 5.6 100.0%
James Swinehart 100% 36.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.6 1.1 2.3 99.5%
Zach Johnson 100% 53.7 0.1 0.1 87.4%
Austin Richards 100% 64.1 42.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ruppert 5.1 0.1 0.7 7.2 22.6 18.0 15.1 12.0 8.2 5.9 3.4 3.0 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Donny McArdle 10.5 0.9 3.7 5.8 7.1 7.9 9.0 10.3 11.4 10.3 7.5 8.6 5.6 3.9 3.0 1.9 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3
Carter Cook 15.3 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.5 3.2 5.6 6.5 7.6 9.1 9.7 9.3 8.6 7.5 5.5 4.7 4.1 3.2 3.1 1.5 0.8
Keagan Stuckey 15.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.9 3.0 4.8 6.4 7.5 8.8 10.5 8.9 9.2 7.1 5.9 4.5 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.7 1.6
James Swinehart 22.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.2 3.0 4.5 5.5 6.1 6.0 7.1 6.5 5.4 6.3 6.2
Zach Johnson 34.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.0 2.0 2.7
Austin Richards 41.9 0.1 0.2