All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Harrison Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County Championship |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/3 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
441 |
457 |
474 |
456 |
906 |
387 |
506 |
798 |
449 |
551 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
457 |
435 |
456 |
412 |
360 |
469 |
427 |
425 |
494 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Harrison Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County Championship |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 61 |
Nick Petroy |
12 |
16:21 |
16:39 |
16:27 |
16:37 |
|
16:02 |
16:47 |
|
16:17 |
16:24 |
16:12 |
16:14 |
| 122 |
Matthew Reid |
11 |
16:41 |
16:39 |
16:34 |
16:27 |
|
16:26 |
16:51 |
|
16:54 |
16:48 |
16:44 |
|
| 303 |
Kenny Arnold |
12 |
17:10 |
17:22 |
17:18 |
17:04 |
|
16:47 |
17:03 |
|
17:00 |
18:11 |
|
|
| 387 |
Jacob Rowland |
12 |
17:21 |
17:18 |
|
17:24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 627 |
Micah Morita-Mullaney |
12 |
17:46 |
|
|
18:03 |
|
18:06 |
17:57 |
17:36 |
17:39 |
17:28 |
|
|
| 633 |
Julio Valdez |
10 |
17:47 |
18:00 |
17:55 |
|
17:25 |
17:41 |
17:49 |
|
17:39 |
18:04 |
|
|
| 683 |
Joey Grese |
10 |
17:51 |
17:40 |
17:35 |
|
17:50 |
17:33 |
19:12 |
17:47 |
18:02 |
|
|
|
| 734 |
Simon Teklezghi |
11 |
17:56 |
17:45 |
17:50 |
18:00 |
|
18:01 |
17:49 |
|
18:07 |
18:02 |
|
|
| 946 |
Nick Hamersly |
10 |
18:11 |
17:53 |
18:11 |
|
18:10 |
18:13 |
|
18:27 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,010 |
Lucas Henry |
12 |
18:17 |
18:27 |
18:28 |
18:21 |
|
18:07 |
|
18:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,195 |
Jalen Ray |
10 |
18:29 |
18:50 |
18:49 |
|
18:35 |
18:07 |
|
18:06 |
|
18:34 |
|
|
|
William Harvey |
12 |
19:34 |
19:54 |
19:25 |
19:37 |
|
19:36 |
|
19:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Quinten Rostron |
9 |
19:36 |
19:05 |
19:44 |
|
19:23 |
19:47 |
19:33 |
19:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
Skyler Winslow |
9 |
20:17 |
20:44 |
20:17 |
|
20:10 |
20:47 |
20:17 |
19:38 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
8.1 |
205 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
2.1 |
5.7 |
18.3 |
31.3 |
42.2 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.7 |
97 |
|
0.1 |
31.6 |
67.1 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Petroy |
65.8% |
52.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
65.8% |
65.8% |
| Matthew Reid |
8.1% |
75.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.1% |
8.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Petroy |
100.0% |
23.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Matthew Reid |
91.2% |
43.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
91.2% |
91.2% |
| Kenny Arnold |
11.7% |
65.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.7% |
11.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Petroy |
100% |
17.2 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
5.6 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
5.0 |
6.3 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Matthew Reid |
100% |
28.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Kenny Arnold |
100% |
45.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Micah Morita-Mullaney |
100% |
69.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Julio Valdez |
100% |
70.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Joey Grese |
100% |
72.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Simon Teklezghi |
100% |
74.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.9% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Petroy |
6.1 |
|
1.3 |
12.2 |
14.0 |
12.0 |
9.7 |
10.1 |
12.4 |
12.7 |
6.9 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Matthew Reid |
11.8 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
7.7 |
11.6 |
12.3 |
11.2 |
10.0 |
9.6 |
9.2 |
7.6 |
6.1 |
3.0 |
1.9 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Kenny Arnold |
19.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
6.8 |
10.1 |
15.4 |
16.8 |
17.4 |
12.5 |
5.0 |
3.4 |
1.0 |
| Micah Morita-Mullaney |
29.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
4.3 |
5.3 |
| Julio Valdez |
29.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
5.8 |
| Joey Grese |
31.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
| Simon Teklezghi |
33.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
|
