All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Beast of the Southeast Invitational |
Switzerland County Quintangular |
Pre-Ohio River Valley Conference |
Jac-Cen-Del Invitational |
Big Blue Invitational |
South Dearborn Invitational |
Great Pumpkin Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Ohio River Valley Conf. |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Brown County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/24 |
9/7 |
9/9 |
9/12 |
9/16 |
9/21 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
959 |
1,178 |
NEI |
1,132 |
|
945 |
1,018 |
986 |
939 |
962 |
925 |
956 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
1,107 |
NEI |
1,132 |
|
945 |
1,018 |
986 |
939 |
962 |
925 |
956 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Beast of the Southeast Invitational |
Switzerland County Quintangular |
Pre-Ohio River Valley Conference |
Jac-Cen-Del Invitational |
Big Blue Invitational |
South Dearborn Invitational |
Great Pumpkin Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Ohio River Valley Conf. |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Brown County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| 243 |
Bradley Winston |
11 |
17:02 |
16:54 |
NEI |
17:09 |
NEI |
16:59 |
16:53 |
17:03 |
16:48 |
17:44 |
16:59 |
17:05 |
17:14 |
| 499 |
Ethan Goebel |
12 |
17:33 |
18:00 |
NEI |
17:28 |
NEI |
17:25 |
17:57 |
17:26 |
17:23 |
17:33 |
17:22 |
17:27 |
17:45 |
| 715 |
Trevor Smith |
10 |
17:54 |
18:32 |
NEI |
18:11 |
NEI |
17:56 |
17:42 |
18:16 |
17:54 |
17:51 |
17:49 |
17:36 |
18:00 |
|
Caleb Geary |
9 |
19:22 |
20:14 |
NEI |
21:07 |
|
19:50 |
20:00 |
19:48 |
19:51 |
19:03 |
18:56 |
19:12 |
|
|
Billy Eccles |
9 |
20:12 |
|
NEI |
20:47 |
|
19:43 |
20:14 |
19:51 |
20:02 |
19:54 |
20:32 |
20:42 |
|
|
Lane Coles |
10 |
20:35 |
21:57 |
NEI |
20:39 |
|
20:49 |
20:58 |
20:08 |
19:50 |
20:23 |
20:34 |
21:03 |
|
|
Mitchell Adcock |
10 |
21:02 |
21:07 |
NEI |
21:05 |
|
21:40 |
20:45 |
20:52 |
20:53 |
21:16 |
20:52 |
21:45 |
|
|
Cameron Canada |
9 |
21:58 |
21:32 |
|
21:43 |
|
22:45 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
7.3 |
170 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
16.3 |
41.8 |
38.4 |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.5 |
88 |
|
|
51.7 |
48.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bradley Winston |
3.2% |
118.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.2% |
3.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bradley Winston |
100% |
48.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Ethan Goebel |
99.2% |
89.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.2% |
99.2% |
| Trevor Smith |
67.5% |
110.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
67.5% |
67.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bradley Winston |
100% |
10.6 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
8.8 |
9.8 |
9.4 |
7.3 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
4.7 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Goebel |
100% |
22.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
8.5 |
9.3 |
10.8 |
10.7 |
10.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Trevor Smith |
100% |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.4 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bradley Winston |
4.7 |
1.3 |
6.5 |
9.7 |
13.0 |
26.4 |
19.1 |
11.8 |
7.2 |
3.4 |
1.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ethan Goebel |
10.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
4.2 |
7.0 |
13.2 |
19.4 |
22.1 |
18.7 |
12.1 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Trevor Smith |
13.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
3.3 |
9.0 |
20.2 |
38.1 |
14.6 |
6.5 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
