Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #16
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #4
Culver Academies Regional Rank #1
Culver Academies Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Warsaw Classic Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 9/2 9/16 9/23 9/30 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 324 246 278 476 407 408 458 489 488
Team Adjusted Rating 246 278 359 307 317 343 385 383
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Warsaw Classic Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
24  Zeb Hernandez 11 15:58 15:54 16:04
79  Lucas Howett 12 16:28 16:13 16:28 16:27 16:24 16:43 16:41 16:43 16:16 16:37
216  Taylor Mills 12 16:58 16:26 16:36 17:09 17:00 16:48 17:04 17:05 17:18
230  Xavi Ramirez 12 17:00 16:51 16:47 16:52 16:38 17:05 16:57 17:19 17:33
379  Justin Fleming 12 17:20 17:04 17:08 17:42 17:29 17:06 17:20 17:27 17:25
501  Sam Lechlitner 9 17:33 17:34 17:35 17:41 17:23 17:23 17:41 17:43
564  Nathaniel Gottschalk 12 17:41 17:36 17:50 17:50 17:52 17:46 17:32 17:28
807  Hunter Thompson 9 18:02 17:46 18:24 17:44 18:29 17:47 18:13
875  Tanner Stiver 9 18:07 18:44 19:06 19:16 17:55 17:55 17:54
1,052  Jacob Kissling 9 18:19 18:51 18:50 18:30 18:05 17:55
1,172  Eric Williamson 12 18:27 19:10 18:54 18:52 17:59 17:59 18:30
1,320  Nick Bazzoni 10 18:39 18:27 18:21 19:16 18:38
1,326  Anthony Bass 11 18:39 18:49 18:31 18:43 18:39
1,457  Jack Horoho 11 18:48 19:13 19:11 18:39 18:35
Kennis Dye 12 19:10 19:39 19:32 18:41
Gary Keyes 11 19:17 19:11 19:00 19:30




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 7.9 226 0.1 2.3 3.7 5.4 11.5 17.3 22.7 16.9 11.2 6.0 2.1 0.9 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 29 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 34 100.0 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Howett 71.2% 69.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 71.2% 71.2%
Taylor Mills 1.4% 106.0 1.4% 1.4%
Xavi Ramirez 0.9% 113.5 1.0% 1.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Howett 100% 17.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.5 2.4 3.8 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.9 5.1 5.5 4.4 5.5 4.9 5.5 4.7 4.5 4.7 4.2 3.9 3.1 100.0%
Taylor Mills 100% 43.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.0 100.0%
Xavi Ramirez 100% 46.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.8 100.0%
Justin Fleming 100% 73.5 100.0%
Sam Lechlitner 100% 89.0 100.0%
Nathaniel Gottschalk 100% 95.8 99.9%
Hunter Thompson 100% 120.4 90.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Howett 100% 2.4 1.9 22.2 65.9 9.0 1.1 100.0%
Taylor Mills 100% 5.0 0.4 19.7 28.6 28.5 17.8 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Xavi Ramirez 100% 5.3 0.2 12.9 26.3 30.8 21.6 6.7 1.3 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Justin Fleming 100% 8.2 0.4 2.9 13.0 28.6 25.5 14.4 7.4 4.6 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Sam Lechlitner 100% 10.9 0.3 0.7 4.4 11.3 18.2 17.9 14.8 12.0 10.0 5.1 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nathaniel Gottschalk 100% 12.9 0.2 0.8 2.8 6.3 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.0 11.7 9.2 4.8 2.4 1.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Hunter Thompson 100% 19.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.8 5.4 9.1 10.5 10.8 9.6 8.9 7.5 6.4 4.6 4.4 2.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Howett 2.4 1.5 20.5 68.6 8.2 1.3
Taylor Mills 5.0 0.1 0.3 20.6 29.8 28.1 16.2 4.1 0.8 0.3
Xavi Ramirez 5.4 0.3 11.0 25.9 30.3 25.4 5.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
Justin Fleming 8.0 0.1 0.4 2.3 11.7 34.9 27.7 14.3 5.8 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.1
Sam Lechlitner 10.5 0.1 0.9 3.7 13.5 20.3 24.5 19.3 10.1 4.5 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
Nathaniel Gottschalk 11.8 0.1 0.6 4.1 9.8 17.1 22.5 20.0 12.5 6.3 3.6 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
Hunter Thompson 16.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.0 5.0 11.2 14.2 13.7 13.3 11.3 9.5 7.2 4.5 3.4 2.8 1.1 0.8