All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
Prairie Heights Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Tippecanoe Valley Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Northeast Corner Conference |
West Noble Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
416 |
458 |
460 |
451 |
446 |
365 |
422 |
431 |
417 |
387 |
417 |
467 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
458 |
460 |
451 |
446 |
365 |
422 |
431 |
417 |
387 |
417 |
467 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
Prairie Heights Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Tippecanoe Valley Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Northeast Corner Conference |
West Noble Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 87 |
Dakota Thompson |
11 |
16:31 |
16:43 |
16:39 |
16:35 |
16:39 |
16:35 |
16:47 |
16:17 |
16:31 |
16:23 |
16:53 |
16:24 |
| 192 |
Jordan Shoemaker |
11 |
16:53 |
16:47 |
17:01 |
16:58 |
16:46 |
16:29 |
17:09 |
16:48 |
17:20 |
16:38 |
17:01 |
17:00 |
| 267 |
Abraham Longoria |
10 |
17:05 |
17:13 |
17:15 |
17:05 |
17:01 |
16:49 |
16:51 |
17:13 |
16:56 |
17:13 |
17:01 |
17:28 |
| 364 |
Allen Abad |
10 |
17:18 |
17:39 |
17:51 |
17:48 |
17:36 |
17:02 |
17:15 |
17:29 |
17:08 |
17:11 |
17:06 |
17:32 |
| 368 |
Michael Weaver |
10 |
17:19 |
17:26 |
17:17 |
17:23 |
17:29 |
17:26 |
17:13 |
17:26 |
17:13 |
17:15 |
17:15 |
17:22 |
| 587 |
Cosme Pena |
10 |
17:43 |
|
19:12 |
18:10 |
18:08 |
17:50 |
18:06 |
17:50 |
17:55 |
18:02 |
17:33 |
17:35 |
| 636 |
Nathan Mast |
10 |
17:47 |
17:49 |
17:31 |
18:06 |
17:55 |
17:53 |
17:21 |
17:39 |
17:43 |
17:53 |
17:44 |
18:16 |
| 677 |
Aden Burke |
12 |
17:51 |
18:23 |
17:47 |
17:36 |
17:40 |
17:32 |
17:50 |
18:37 |
|
|
|
|
| 759 |
Isaac Flora |
9 |
17:58 |
17:32 |
17:41 |
17:35 |
17:59 |
18:04 |
18:24 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
22.0 |
512 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
6.3 |
8.6 |
12.3 |
19.0 |
38.6 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
6.5 |
202 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
3.9 |
8.3 |
14.5 |
20.8 |
23.3 |
15.5 |
7.5 |
3.7 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.1 |
128 |
|
1.7 |
12.0 |
20.5 |
22.3 |
24.0 |
19.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
56 |
0.1 |
99.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dakota Thompson |
100% |
82.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
52.2% |
| Jordan Shoemaker |
100% |
130.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.6% |
| Abraham Longoria |
100% |
151.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Allen Abad |
100% |
170.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Michael Weaver |
100% |
171.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Cosme Pena |
100% |
190.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Nathan Mast |
100% |
193.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dakota Thompson |
100% |
17.4 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
|
99.9% |
| Jordan Shoemaker |
100% |
46.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
|
87.8% |
| Abraham Longoria |
100% |
64.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
58.1% |
| Allen Abad |
100% |
82.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.5% |
| Michael Weaver |
100% |
83.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
19.5% |
| Cosme Pena |
100% |
115.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Nathan Mast |
100% |
121.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dakota Thompson |
100% |
8.9 |
|
|
|
0.8 |
5.7 |
13.8 |
12.6 |
8.5 |
9.6 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
7.0 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jordan Shoemaker |
100% |
20.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
6.5 |
5.6 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
5.7 |
5.6 |
5.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Abraham Longoria |
100% |
28.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Allen Abad |
100% |
40.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Michael Weaver |
100% |
40.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Cosme Pena |
100% |
59.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nathan Mast |
100% |
61.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dakota Thompson |
3.8 |
|
0.4 |
35.5 |
16.6 |
13.7 |
17.8 |
9.4 |
5.0 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jordan Shoemaker |
8.4 |
|
|
|
2.7 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
12.4 |
17.8 |
21.0 |
16.6 |
9.8 |
6.2 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abraham Longoria |
11.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
2.3 |
5.1 |
8.7 |
14.6 |
16.4 |
18.1 |
11.7 |
9.0 |
6.0 |
3.3 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Allen Abad |
14.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
4.4 |
7.7 |
10.5 |
12.6 |
13.4 |
12.7 |
11.4 |
10.0 |
7.4 |
5.0 |
1.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
| Michael Weaver |
15.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
6.8 |
9.9 |
13.2 |
13.7 |
14.3 |
12.5 |
9.5 |
6.9 |
4.4 |
2.4 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
| Cosme Pena |
21.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
7.1 |
12.7 |
17.0 |
23.5 |
17.5 |
7.6 |
3.4 |
| Nathan Mast |
22.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
4.9 |
6.9 |
14.4 |
20.0 |
26.7 |
11.4 |
6.0 |
|
