All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Harvey Circle City Conference |
Marion Invitational |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Marion County Championship |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/3 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
432 |
457 |
417 |
536 |
429 |
450 |
|
449 |
406 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
457 |
417 |
439 |
429 |
450 |
|
449 |
406 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Harvey Circle City Conference |
Marion Invitational |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Marion County Championship |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 42 |
Christian Stevens |
12 |
16:14 |
16:07 |
16:17 |
16:21 |
16:15 |
16:12 |
|
16:23 |
16:08 |
16:15 |
16:12 |
| 108 |
Jack Kovach |
10 |
16:37 |
16:32 |
16:36 |
16:32 |
16:31 |
16:47 |
|
16:41 |
16:41 |
16:36 |
16:35 |
| 272 |
Alex Pirkle |
12 |
17:06 |
17:08 |
16:57 |
|
17:09 |
17:11 |
|
17:07 |
17:01 |
17:08 |
|
| 510 |
Niels Caspersen |
11 |
17:34 |
17:57 |
17:40 |
17:49 |
17:45 |
17:35 |
|
17:23 |
17:19 |
|
|
| 550 |
Colin Chambers |
10 |
17:39 |
17:43 |
17:30 |
17:30 |
17:27 |
17:42 |
|
17:54 |
17:43 |
|
|
| 1,069 |
Evan Stella |
11 |
18:21 |
19:14 |
|
18:19 |
|
18:18 |
|
18:29 |
18:04 |
|
|
| 1,094 |
Patrick Etzler |
11 |
18:23 |
18:26 |
|
18:37 |
18:31 |
|
17:59 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,105 |
Josh Ruppert |
11 |
18:23 |
18:50 |
18:41 |
18:32 |
18:25 |
18:28 |
|
18:10 |
18:18 |
|
|
| 1,156 |
Kyle Brun |
12 |
18:26 |
18:07 |
|
18:36 |
18:53 |
|
18:10 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,527 |
Alex Potts |
11 |
18:53 |
|
|
18:54 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,578 |
Michael Gerritzen |
11 |
18:56 |
19:04 |
|
18:54 |
19:00 |
|
18:53 |
|
|
|
|
|
Carson Woods |
9 |
19:06 |
19:05 |
|
|
19:40 |
18:53 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
7.2 |
189 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
8.6 |
19.1 |
31.8 |
23.3 |
17.0 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.3 |
88 |
|
0.3 |
68.2 |
31.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Christian Stevens |
88.1% |
40.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
88.1% |
88.1% |
| Jack Kovach |
18.5% |
72.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
18.5% |
18.5% |
| Alex Pirkle |
0.0% |
83.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Christian Stevens |
100% |
16.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
2.8 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
6.0 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Jack Kovach |
96.9% |
37.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
96.9% |
96.9% |
| Alex Pirkle |
21.3% |
62.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.3% |
21.3% |
| Niels Caspersen |
0.1% |
121.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Christian Stevens |
100% |
12.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
4.0 |
6.5 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
7.8 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Kovach |
100% |
25.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Alex Pirkle |
100% |
42.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Niels Caspersen |
100% |
61.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Colin Chambers |
100% |
64.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Evan Stella |
100% |
83.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70.4% |
| Patrick Etzler |
100% |
84.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
65.1% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Christian Stevens |
3.6 |
0.1 |
7.0 |
33.1 |
15.3 |
10.9 |
7.9 |
8.8 |
7.1 |
5.2 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Kovach |
10.3 |
|
|
0.2 |
2.3 |
4.0 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
6.9 |
9.6 |
13.1 |
12.7 |
10.3 |
8.6 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.2 |
3.2 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Alex Pirkle |
18.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
6.7 |
10.6 |
14.4 |
14.9 |
15.6 |
10.8 |
8.3 |
3.6 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
| Niels Caspersen |
24.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
3.6 |
7.0 |
13.1 |
13.5 |
12.6 |
| Colin Chambers |
26.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
4.2 |
6.7 |
10.7 |
11.3 |
| Evan Stella |
41.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Patrick Etzler |
41.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
