East Central
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #77
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #25
Shelbyville Regional Rank #5
South Dearborn Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 0th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Richmond Invitational Rushville Invitational East Central Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Connersville Invitational Eastern Indiana Athletic Conf. Batesville Invitational Greensburg Invitational South Dearborn Sectional Shelbyville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/19 8/26 9/5 9/9 9/16 9/19 9/23 9/26 9/28 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 676 650 744 674 667 648 732 752 781 652 742 685
Team Adjusted Rating 650 683 674 667 648 732 752 691 606 742 685
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Richmond Invitational Rushville Invitational East Central Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Connersville Invitational Eastern Indiana Athletic Conf. Batesville Invitational Greensburg Invitational South Dearborn Sectional Shelbyville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
271  Andrew White 12 17:06 17:10 17:45 17:00 17:28 17:32 17:12 17:18 16:54 17:11 16:56 16:52 16:53
533  Kameron Geisen 12 17:37 17:40 17:40 17:46 17:42 17:21 17:51 18:09 17:33 17:10 17:46 17:31 17:33
586  Garrett Ardis 11 17:43 17:24 17:31 17:26 17:19 17:43 17:45 18:07 17:30 18:08 17:57
763  Kaleb Geisen 12 17:58 17:42 17:33 17:44 17:36 17:54 18:09 17:55 18:54 18:10 18:12
890  Scott Jackson 12 18:08 18:17 18:34 18:21 17:41 18:17 18:00 18:13 17:49 18:20 18:05
1,445  Kyle Gutfreund 11 18:48 19:03 18:53 19:04 18:51 18:45 18:25 18:38 19:33 18:33 18:58 18:38
1,496  Kasey Carr 10 18:52 19:11 19:05 19:21 19:11 18:34 18:26 18:45 18:19 19:22
Griffin Werner 9 19:21 19:45 19:31 20:02 19:28 19:13 19:15 18:50 19:27 19:15 19:21
Jacob Weber 11 19:37 19:11 19:43 19:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.3 137 0.4 2.9 18.9 35.2 25.6 17.1
Sectionals 100% 1.3 39 73.5 26.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew White 99.6% 76.2 99.6% 99.6%
Kameron Geisen 33.1% 111.0 33.1% 33.1%
Garrett Ardis 16.2% 115.6 16.2% 16.2%
Kaleb Geisen 0.2% 125.5 0.3% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew White 100% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 2.1 3.5 4.8 5.3 7.1 8.1 7.9 9.4 10.0 8.8 8.2 6.3 5.2 3.8 2.5 1.5 1.2 1.4 0.6 0.7 100.0%
Kameron Geisen 100% 28.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 2.0 2.2 3.2 4.3 4.7 4.2 4.1 4.5 100.0%
Garrett Ardis 100% 32.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 2.1 1.5 2.2 2.9 2.9 3.0 100.0%
Kaleb Geisen 100% 44.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Scott Jackson 100% 50.3 100.0%
Kyle Gutfreund 100% 65.5 99.9%
Kasey Carr 100% 66.9 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew White 1.6 34.6 27.1 20.2 12.8 4.9 0.6
Kameron Geisen 5.8 0.4 1.7 6.1 17.0 31.9 25.1 10.1 4.6 2.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
Garrett Ardis 6.7 0.1 0.7 1.9 8.0 21.2 26.4 20.3 12.0 5.7 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1
Kaleb Geisen 9.7 0.2 1.0 4.0 14.0 17.9 18.0 15.2 10.7 7.4 5.2 2.7 2.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1
Scott Jackson 12.2 0.1 0.3 2.4 6.8 9.4 13.9 14.6 13.7 12.8 8.8 5.6 5.3 3.9 2.0 0.4 0.1
Kyle Gutfreund 21.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.9 2.5 3.7 6.7 13.7 15.1 16.2 13.6 11.1 7.7
Kasey Carr 22.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 2.3 3.4 8.4 12.8 14.1 16.8 13.5 12.1