Elkhart Memorial
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #62
New Haven Semi-State Rank #18
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #6
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 0th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating NIC Stomp Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/19 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 622 481 573 663 608 655 599 638
Team Adjusted Rating 481 573 663 608 655 599 638
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
186  Hazael Morales 11 16:52 16:39 16:53 17:18 16:56 16:47 16:48 16:42 17:09
484  Abdessamed Bouhassa 11 17:31 17:28 17:38 17:44 17:43 17:35 17:22 17:13 18:20
543  Kyle Cart 12 17:38 17:22 17:45 17:45 17:19 17:59 17:29 17:41
670  Neil Terrell 10 17:50 17:03 17:02 17:47 17:40 17:54 18:15 18:26
745  Daniel Brown 10 17:57 17:39 18:15 17:47 18:24 17:58 17:51 17:55
865  Juan Cepero 10 18:06 17:27 17:53 17:58 18:01 18:19 18:01 18:57
Alex Lefever 9 19:09 18:23 18:44 19:24 19:08 19:42
Josh Ekema 11 19:10 18:24 18:46 20:27 18:48 19:43
Eric Stansbury 11 19:30 19:05 18:27 20:38 19:20 19:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.5 136 8.0 13.4 15.3 14.9 12.4 12.3 12.5 11.3
Sectionals 100% 4.2 102 6.0 11.2 13.9 19.9 27.4 21.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hazael Morales 4.5% 98.5 4.5% 4.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hazael Morales 98.3% 44.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.6 98.3% 98.3%
Abdessamed Bouhassa 9.2% 82.8 9.2% 9.2%
Kyle Cart 2.8% 88.0 2.8% 2.8%
Neil Terrell 0.0% 110.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hazael Morales 100% 10.8 0.4 1.9 3.2 3.2 4.4 5.7 4.5 6.7 7.0 7.7 7.2 6.8 7.4 6.3 5.8 5.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.6 100.0%
Abdessamed Bouhassa 100% 30.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.2 3.7 4.7 99.8%
Kyle Cart 100% 34.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.5 99.0%
Neil Terrell 100% 41.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 93.0%
Daniel Brown 100% 47.6 81.4%
Juan Cepero 100% 53.8 59.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hazael Morales 5.4 4.6 8.1 10.9 9.9 11.9 11.2 9.4 9.2 8.3 5.4 4.4 2.8 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Abdessamed Bouhassa 18.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.0 3.0 3.7 6.8 7.9 11.1 11.7 10.8 9.5 8.8 6.8 3.9 3.4 2.4
Kyle Cart 20.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.8 2.4 4.6 5.5 9.4 10.1 11.2 9.9 8.4 8.2 7.3 4.3
Neil Terrell 25.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.3 3.7 5.3 6.2 7.8 7.5 7.0
Daniel Brown 29.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.9 4.2 3.9 6.5
Juan Cepero 34.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.6