Evansville Central
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #141
Brown County Semi-State Rank #35
Pike Central Regional Rank #9
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Pioneer Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic South Knox Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational Evansville City Meet Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 960 967 984 1,103 1,033 917 1,022
Team Adjusted Rating 967 984 930 1,033 917 1,022
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Pioneer Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic South Knox Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational Evansville City Meet Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
31  Evan Sorensen 12 16:10 16:33 15:48 15:52 16:27 15:52 16:36 16:10 16:47 16:01 16:06
565  Reynaldo Villegas 10 17:41 18:12 18:03 17:57 17:59 17:35 17:51 17:32 17:28
Michael Rust 12 19:01 18:47 18:52 19:12 19:16 18:35 19:17 19:09 18:48
Mercutio Reynard 10 19:29 18:44 19:12 20:38 19:00 19:44 19:05 20:14
Isaiah Wray 9 19:30 19:48 19:44 20:09 19:34 19:27 19:41 19:05 19:28
Tensei Nakamura 10 22:39 22:54 24:37 24:56 24:44 21:52 22:02 23:07 22:16




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.3 198 0.1 2.2 65.7 32.2
Sectionals 100% 6.1 153 0.1 21.6 51.2 19.8 6.5 0.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Sorensen 99.6% 36.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.2 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.0 99.6% 99.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Sorensen 100% 9.0 0.2 0.5 1.6 2.4 5.5 9.9 9.9 10.5 9.9 8.5 7.9 7.9 5.4 5.0 4.1 3.1 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Reynaldo Villegas 54.9% 92.8 54.9% 54.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Sorensen 100% 2.3 2.8 35.9 35.7 24.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Reynaldo Villegas 100% 25.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.8 2.4 3.7 5.9 6.0 7.1 8.6 8.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Sorensen 1.8 2.8 60.3 36.0 0.7 0.2 0.1
Reynaldo Villegas 15.5 0.3 0.3 1.0 2.6 7.0 15.0 15.7 16.5 21.5 12.0 4.3 2.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1