Lapel
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #83
New Haven Semi-State Rank #26
Delta Regional Rank #4
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Aaron Stephenson Memorial Invitational Southwestern Small School Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Landes Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County Championship Delta Eagle Invitational Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/15 8/19 8/23 8/31 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/19 9/23 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 702 787 558 899 903 889 730 818 817 1,262 848 838
Team Adjusted Rating 787 558 758 753 715 730 704 682 663 726 745
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Aaron Stephenson Memorial Invitational Southwestern Small School Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Landes Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County Championship Delta Eagle Invitational Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
23  Luke Combs 10 15:58 15:54 15:32 15:49 16:36 16:01 16:34 16:07 16:01 15:51 16:02 15:56 16:07 16:22
678  Jesse McCurdy 10 17:51 17:23 17:08 17:51 17:48 18:06 17:51 18:10
815  Carson Huber 10 18:02 18:24 17:58 18:04 18:10 18:11 18:07 17:54 17:47 17:35 18:21 18:09
916  Jakob Addington 11 18:09 18:23 17:45 18:08 18:06 18:15 18:14
1,267  Killian O'Connor 10 18:35 19:33 18:08 19:19 18:37 18:38 18:12 18:33 18:28 18:33 18:42
Luke Rich 10 19:37 20:07 20:06 19:37 20:01 20:19 19:27 19:17 19:32 19:29 19:41 19:19
Gavin Sandefur 11 21:06 20:59 21:41 21:50 22:07 21:44 21:29 21:47 21:35 20:38
Logan Gephardt 10 21:24 21:41 21:41 21:27 22:21 21:35 21:25 20:57 21:10 21:04 21:30
Blaine Teeters 10 21:30 20:59 21:39 21:50 21:58 21:30 21:20 21:14 21:47 21:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.5 147 2.2 15.7 31.3 33.3 13.6 3.8 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.2 114 0.1 81.1 17.9 0.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 100.0% 21.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.0 2.2 3.1 3.4 4.6 3.5 4.5 3.1 3.9 3.2 4.1 2.8 3.8 4.2 3.5 100.0% 100.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 100% 5.0 2.9 6.8 9.5 14.0 16.7 19.3 12.3 8.9 5.0 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jesse McCurdy 50.2% 119.5 50.2% 50.2%
Carson Huber 12.5% 126.2 12.5% 12.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 100% 1.0 71.9 23.6 2.9 1.6 0.2 100.0%
Jesse McCurdy 100% 25.2 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.6 2.0 3.0 4.2 4.9 5.1 5.6 6.0 5.5 7.6 100.0%
Carson Huber 100% 32.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.5 2.0 1.7 2.9 2.3 100.0%
Killian O'Connor 100% 48.8 84.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 1.0 73.7 25.8 0.5 0.1
Jesse McCurdy 15.3 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.4 3.9 6.1 9.8 11.0 12.2 11.4 9.0 8.4 6.4 4.8 3.6 3.7 3.1 1.5 1.2
Carson Huber 19.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 3.3 4.8 6.0 7.9 8.7 8.3 9.2 8.6 8.3 8.0 6.7 7.0
Killian O'Connor 29.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.7 1.4 2.6