Providence
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #147
Brown County Semi-State Rank #38
Crawford County Regional Rank #11
Crawford County Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Columbus North Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship Crawford County Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Providence Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional
Date 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/26 10/7 10/14
Team Rating 1,006 1,115 1,109 1,008 1,279 1,153
Team Adjusted Rating 951 970 1,008 1,036 963
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Columbus North Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship Crawford County Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Providence Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional
800  Alex Lancaster 10 18:01 18:02
1,005  Thomas Gaines 11 18:16 17:53 17:43 18:19 17:55 18:36 18:10 22:03
1,039  Alex Perkinson 10 18:18 18:06 18:36 18:17 18:08 18:26 18:28 18:12
1,135  Tyler Upton 11 18:25 17:56 18:27 18:50 19:07 18:13 18:01 18:42
Bradon Dykes 11 19:37 20:01 19:23 19:12 19:50 19:53 19:26
Stephen Schroering 12 20:42 20:05 19:46 21:37 21:05 21:19 20:24
Joshua Lynch 9 21:44 21:49 21:16 21:41 21:33 22:43
Logan Applewhite 10 21:47 20:25 22:46 22:15 21:07 22:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 6.5 174 4.0 47.1 49.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Gaines 0.5% 121.0 0.5% 0.5%
Alex Perkinson 0.2% 113.5 0.3% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Gaines 100% 46.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Alex Perkinson 100% 47.4 100.0% 100.0%
Tyler Upton 100% 51.4 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Gaines 24.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.9 1.7 2.8 3.6 5.0 5.5 6.9 7.0 8.3 10.4
Alex Perkinson 25.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.8 3.2 3.5 4.9 5.3 7.3 7.1 9.2
Tyler Upton 28.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.6 3.1 4.1 4.5 5.8