All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Richmond Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Conference Indiana |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Marion County Championship |
Franklin Community Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
489 |
387 |
475 |
438 |
474 |
406 |
481 |
495 |
512 |
553 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
387 |
475 |
438 |
474 |
406 |
481 |
495 |
512 |
553 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Richmond Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Conference Indiana |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Marion County Championship |
Franklin Community Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 27 |
Michael Crook |
12 |
16:05 |
16:01 |
16:10 |
15:56 |
16:16 |
16:00 |
16:05 |
16:26 |
16:20 |
16:00 |
16:09 |
| 88 |
Drew Shellenberger |
10 |
16:31 |
16:14 |
16:51 |
16:45 |
16:28 |
16:15 |
16:28 |
16:30 |
16:31 |
16:42 |
|
| 563 |
Mark Carlson |
12 |
17:40 |
17:16 |
17:31 |
17:25 |
18:04 |
17:38 |
17:45 |
17:31 |
17:43 |
18:03 |
|
| 567 |
Luke Manning |
12 |
17:41 |
17:06 |
17:18 |
17:19 |
17:34 |
17:26 |
17:42 |
17:54 |
18:54 |
18:06 |
|
| 694 |
Nick Frank |
9 |
17:52 |
17:53 |
17:56 |
18:27 |
17:44 |
17:24 |
17:57 |
17:51 |
18:01 |
17:50 |
|
| 696 |
Lee Ellyson |
10 |
17:52 |
17:53 |
18:18 |
17:58 |
17:57 |
17:49 |
17:50 |
17:41 |
17:35 |
18:05 |
|
| 783 |
Scott Speiser |
12 |
18:00 |
17:51 |
17:59 |
17:47 |
18:14 |
18:14 |
17:45 |
18:12 |
|
|
|
| 841 |
Justin May |
12 |
18:04 |
|
18:13 |
17:58 |
17:38 |
17:56 |
18:39 |
|
18:08 |
|
|
| 903 |
Malachi Hampshire |
9 |
18:09 |
17:58 |
18:19 |
18:26 |
|
18:05 |
17:57 |
|
|
18:12 |
|
| 1,455 |
Justin Polly |
9 |
18:48 |
|
19:02 |
19:01 |
18:40 |
19:01 |
18:27 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,466 |
Jesse Rich |
10 |
18:49 |
|
18:50 |
18:53 |
18:46 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,550 |
Jeremy Biggerstaff |
10 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Melendez |
9 |
19:01 |
|
19:08 |
|
19:06 |
19:02 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gage Biggerstyaff |
10 |
19:11 |
|
19:26 |
19:06 |
19:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Blake Kottlowski |
9 |
19:27 |
|
|
19:28 |
18:57 |
20:13 |
19:26 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
10.2 |
309 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
2.0 |
7.2 |
22.5 |
29.3 |
21.1 |
10.5 |
5.3 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.9 |
85 |
0.6 |
26.7 |
59.3 |
11.7 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.8 |
84 |
0.7 |
30.1 |
57.1 |
11.7 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Michael Crook |
97.5% |
29.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
97.5% |
97.5% |
| Drew Shellenberger |
35.3% |
65.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
35.3% |
35.3% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Michael Crook |
100% |
10.5 |
|
0.2 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
7.2 |
8.4 |
9.6 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Drew Shellenberger |
100% |
31.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Mark Carlson |
100% |
124.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23.5% |
| Luke Manning |
100% |
125.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.2% |
| Nick Frank |
100% |
139.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.1% |
| Lee Ellyson |
100% |
139.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.3% |
| Scott Speiser |
100% |
146.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Michael Crook |
100% |
1.0 |
71.5 |
17.1 |
8.0 |
2.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Drew Shellenberger |
100% |
4.0 |
0.2 |
12.1 |
18.8 |
19.9 |
24.9 |
12.4 |
5.6 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mark Carlson |
100% |
30.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
|
98.8% |
| Luke Manning |
100% |
30.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
|
99.0% |
| Nick Frank |
100% |
39.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
|
92.8% |
| Lee Ellyson |
100% |
39.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
|
93.6% |
| Scott Speiser |
100% |
45.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
84.3% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Michael Crook |
1.0 |
72.6 |
17.6 |
6.1 |
3.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Drew Shellenberger |
4.0 |
0.2 |
12.2 |
16.9 |
21.9 |
24.6 |
12.0 |
6.2 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mark Carlson |
24.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
6.4 |
7.2 |
6.8 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
| Luke Manning |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
5.3 |
6.4 |
6.6 |
6.0 |
7.3 |
| Nick Frank |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
| Lee Ellyson |
31.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
| Scott Speiser |
34.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
