All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
NorthWood Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
NIC/NLC Conference |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/26 |
9/9 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
547 |
308 |
543 |
620 |
564 |
|
584 |
610 |
631 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
308 |
543 |
582 |
541 |
|
541 |
610 |
631 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
NorthWood Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
NIC/NLC Conference |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 96 |
Luke Griner |
11 |
16:34 |
16:36 |
16:50 |
17:28 |
16:58 |
|
16:34 |
16:53 |
16:22 |
16:49 |
| 166 |
Spencer Hare |
11 |
16:49 |
16:23 |
16:42 |
16:30 |
16:41 |
|
16:54 |
17:06 |
19:19 |
|
| 480 |
Michael Hammer |
10 |
17:31 |
17:31 |
17:35 |
17:24 |
17:26 |
|
17:27 |
17:44 |
17:34 |
|
| 651 |
Braxton Alexander |
11 |
17:48 |
17:55 |
17:38 |
|
|
|
|
18:00 |
17:35 |
|
| 830 |
Thomas Conley |
10 |
18:03 |
17:40 |
18:22 |
18:03 |
18:05 |
|
18:21 |
18:03 |
18:05 |
|
| 921 |
Jace Alexander |
9 |
18:09 |
18:10 |
17:59 |
18:38 |
17:52 |
|
18:41 |
17:58 |
18:13 |
|
| 953 |
Ben Hoffert |
11 |
18:12 |
18:07 |
18:12 |
18:17 |
18:20 |
|
18:00 |
18:08 |
18:34 |
|
| 1,283 |
Ricardo Romo |
12 |
18:36 |
|
18:37 |
18:30 |
18:48 |
|
18:30 |
|
|
|
| 1,464 |
Karlson Hand |
9 |
18:49 |
18:43 |
18:41 |
|
|
19:10 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
10.7 |
295 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.7 |
9.8 |
15.3 |
20.0 |
19.5 |
12.0 |
8.8 |
5.5 |
3.4 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.7 |
114 |
0.3 |
31.1 |
25.7 |
17.2 |
10.3 |
7.4 |
4.4 |
2.7 |
1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.7 |
84 |
28.1 |
24.5 |
19.3 |
14.5 |
9.8 |
3.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Luke Griner |
44.7% |
74.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
44.7% |
44.7% |
| Spencer Hare |
6.8% |
94.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.8% |
6.8% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Luke Griner |
100% |
20.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.6 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Spencer Hare |
100% |
41.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
|
98.0% |
| Michael Hammer |
100% |
98.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.0% |
| Braxton Alexander |
100% |
122.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Thomas Conley |
100% |
139.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Jace Alexander |
100% |
145.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Ben Hoffert |
100% |
147.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Luke Griner |
100% |
3.0 |
7.1 |
26.8 |
15.9 |
11.7 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
6.1 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Spencer Hare |
100% |
9.4 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
4.7 |
6.2 |
6.0 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
7.0 |
7.3 |
7.0 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Michael Hammer |
100% |
30.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
|
99.8% |
| Braxton Alexander |
100% |
41.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
|
94.5% |
| Thomas Conley |
100% |
51.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
65.5% |
| Jace Alexander |
100% |
56.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49.8% |
| Ben Hoffert |
100% |
57.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.4% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Luke Griner |
1.1 |
48.8 |
22.1 |
12.3 |
7.1 |
4.3 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Spencer Hare |
4.7 |
1.9 |
11.8 |
12.9 |
14.3 |
13.0 |
10.4 |
8.6 |
8.1 |
6.8 |
5.0 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Michael Hammer |
18.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
5.3 |
6.7 |
6.9 |
11.6 |
9.8 |
10.6 |
9.8 |
8.2 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
| Braxton Alexander |
25.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
6.2 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
8.0 |
| Thomas Conley |
32.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
| Jace Alexander |
36.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
| Ben Hoffert |
37.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
