All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Hamilton County Champioinship |
THSB State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
North Central JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/29 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/3 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
344 |
375 |
403 |
346 |
316 |
713 |
316 |
376 |
393 |
577 |
413 |
341 |
390 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
358 |
403 |
346 |
316 |
344 |
316 |
349 |
358 |
344 |
369 |
318 |
359 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Hamilton County Champioinship |
THSB State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
North Central JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 48 |
Nick Leahy |
12 |
16:16 |
16:31 |
16:38 |
16:17 |
16:18 |
|
16:09 |
16:12 |
16:28 |
|
16:17 |
16:05 |
16:08 |
16:15 |
| 138 |
Samuel Novak |
11 |
16:45 |
16:48 |
17:12 |
16:43 |
16:32 |
|
16:33 |
17:04 |
16:32 |
|
16:47 |
16:40 |
17:02 |
|
| 232 |
Noah Douthit |
11 |
17:00 |
16:46 |
16:54 |
17:02 |
16:58 |
|
17:17 |
17:02 |
17:11 |
|
17:14 |
16:49 |
16:53 |
|
| 242 |
James McClure |
12 |
17:02 |
|
17:03 |
17:26 |
16:59 |
|
16:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 257 |
Max Gutwein |
11 |
17:04 |
17:12 |
17:21 |
17:03 |
16:55 |
|
16:49 |
16:54 |
17:06 |
|
17:08 |
17:07 |
17:15 |
|
| 415 |
Gavin Clinkenbeard |
11 |
17:25 |
17:36 |
17:31 |
17:19 |
17:05 |
|
18:01 |
17:22 |
17:36 |
17:16 |
|
17:19 |
17:25 |
|
| 474 |
Luke Tragesser |
11 |
17:30 |
17:14 |
17:14 |
17:05 |
17:33 |
|
17:29 |
17:46 |
17:28 |
|
17:43 |
17:27 |
17:51 |
|
| 551 |
Tyler Smith |
9 |
17:39 |
17:28 |
18:35 |
17:41 |
|
17:35 |
17:26 |
17:54 |
17:30 |
|
17:34 |
17:36 |
17:52 |
|
| 552 |
Duncan McGraw |
11 |
17:39 |
17:37 |
18:07 |
17:57 |
17:32 |
|
17:21 |
17:49 |
17:40 |
17:05 |
17:57 |
|
|
|
| 615 |
Jon Huntley |
12 |
17:45 |
17:49 |
17:58 |
18:01 |
18:01 |
|
17:56 |
17:37 |
17:36 |
17:30 |
|
|
|
|
| 632 |
Mahamet Djour |
10 |
17:47 |
18:30 |
18:08 |
17:59 |
|
17:50 |
17:33 |
17:35 |
17:44 |
17:42 |
|
|
|
|
| 707 |
Lincoln Strong |
9 |
17:54 |
17:56 |
17:44 |
17:49 |
|
17:44 |
17:48 |
17:56 |
17:57 |
18:13 |
|
|
|
|
| 738 |
Kyler Koning |
9 |
17:56 |
17:32 |
18:36 |
18:12 |
|
19:11 |
17:48 |
17:53 |
17:42 |
17:45 |
|
|
|
|
| 785 |
Joe Barnett |
10 |
18:00 |
17:56 |
17:55 |
18:02 |
|
17:57 |
17:48 |
18:11 |
18:14 |
17:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 803 |
Nikolas Pensyl |
10 |
18:01 |
18:02 |
17:44 |
17:56 |
|
18:05 |
18:20 |
18:07 |
17:55 |
18:05 |
|
|
|
|
| 835 |
Robby Bogdajewicz |
9 |
18:03 |
17:51 |
17:53 |
18:02 |
|
18:12 |
18:19 |
18:38 |
17:55 |
17:50 |
|
|
|
|
| 879 |
Emerson Bostic |
9 |
18:07 |
17:55 |
18:01 |
18:22 |
|
17:59 |
18:03 |
18:02 |
18:14 |
18:17 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,194 |
Jacob Mears |
11 |
18:29 |
18:06 |
18:05 |
18:21 |
|
18:32 |
19:01 |
18:44 |
18:29 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,205 |
Josh Springborn |
9 |
18:30 |
18:46 |
19:23 |
18:23 |
|
18:07 |
18:49 |
19:24 |
18:12 |
17:59 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,222 |
Corey Phillips |
11 |
18:31 |
18:36 |
18:22 |
18:29 |
|
18:31 |
18:30 |
18:27 |
18:37 |
18:36 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,308 |
Ryan Shannon |
12 |
18:38 |
18:24 |
18:26 |
19:23 |
|
18:31 |
19:16 |
18:39 |
18:25 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,400 |
Clay Kipper |
10 |
18:45 |
18:44 |
|
18:52 |
|
18:54 |
18:35 |
18:50 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,521 |
Jacob Beene |
9 |
18:53 |
18:10 |
19:25 |
|
|
18:42 |
19:12 |
19:11 |
18:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,564 |
Bradley McManus |
10 |
18:55 |
19:53 |
19:21 |
18:18 |
|
18:36 |
19:23 |
19:02 |
18:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,576 |
Thomas May |
12 |
18:56 |
18:38 |
19:51 |
18:47 |
|
18:48 |
|
19:54 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alex Matthews |
9 |
19:05 |
18:43 |
19:07 |
19:05 |
|
18:56 |
19:06 |
|
19:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
William Slover |
9 |
19:06 |
19:08 |
19:24 |
19:23 |
|
19:16 |
18:36 |
19:26 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ryan Schemel |
9 |
19:12 |
19:21 |
19:12 |
19:21 |
|
19:00 |
19:25 |
19:10 |
19:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asa Koch |
11 |
19:13 |
19:18 |
18:50 |
19:10 |
|
17:54 |
19:43 |
20:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Birch Floyd |
9 |
21:09 |
22:39 |
21:45 |
21:12 |
|
21:11 |
21:04 |
21:12 |
21:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
7.7 |
239 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.8 |
13.8 |
24.2 |
36.1 |
12.9 |
5.7 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.1 |
167 |
|
|
0.2 |
2.2 |
32.5 |
34.9 |
17.9 |
8.9 |
3.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.8 |
107 |
|
0.2 |
40.8 |
42.5 |
14.5 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Leahy |
83.8% |
42.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
83.8% |
83.8% |
| Samuel Novak |
5.5% |
80.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.5% |
5.5% |
| Noah Douthit |
0.1% |
128.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Max Gutwein |
0.0% |
115.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Leahy |
100% |
17.6 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
|
99.9% |
| Samuel Novak |
100% |
47.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
79.4% |
| Noah Douthit |
100% |
68.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
34.2% |
| Max Gutwein |
100% |
74.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23.2% |
| Gavin Clinkenbeard |
100% |
102.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.8% |
| Luke Tragesser |
100% |
110.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Tyler Smith |
100% |
123.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Leahy |
100% |
13.8 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.9 |
5.2 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
6.9 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
5.7 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Samuel Novak |
100% |
30.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
4.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Noah Douthit |
100% |
38.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Max Gutwein |
100% |
41.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Gavin Clinkenbeard |
100% |
55.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Luke Tragesser |
100% |
59.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Tyler Smith |
100% |
65.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Leahy |
9.7 |
|
|
0.6 |
2.4 |
4.6 |
6.5 |
10.3 |
9.7 |
9.1 |
10.6 |
13.2 |
9.7 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
4.1 |
2.2 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Samuel Novak |
17.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
5.8 |
8.5 |
12.3 |
14.1 |
13.0 |
11.5 |
11.5 |
8.1 |
3.7 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
| Noah Douthit |
21.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
4.7 |
7.8 |
9.3 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
11.2 |
8.2 |
5.5 |
| Max Gutwein |
23.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
2.3 |
4.7 |
7.2 |
8.8 |
12.1 |
13.7 |
9.0 |
7.4 |
| Gavin Clinkenbeard |
32.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
| Luke Tragesser |
35.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
| Tyler Smith |
38.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
