All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Seymour Invitational |
Salem Invitational |
Columbus North Classic |
Scottsburg Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
Big Blue Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Mid-Southern Conf. |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Brown County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/12 |
8/16 |
8/25 |
9/1 |
9/4 |
9/8 |
9/11 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
544 |
529 |
518 |
512 |
533 |
470 |
522 |
|
544 |
966 |
635 |
534 |
569 |
643 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
529 |
518 |
512 |
533 |
470 |
522 |
|
544 |
537 |
635 |
534 |
569 |
643 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Seymour Invitational |
Salem Invitational |
Columbus North Classic |
Scottsburg Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
Big Blue Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Mid-Southern Conf. |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Brown County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 90 |
Ethan Fugate |
12 |
16:34 |
16:08 |
16:49 |
16:32 |
16:32 |
16:30 |
16:35 |
|
16:32 |
|
16:37 |
16:33 |
16:43 |
16:29 |
16:50 |
| 334 |
Josiah White |
11 |
17:17 |
17:29 |
17:14 |
17:11 |
17:28 |
16:34 |
17:09 |
|
17:05 |
|
17:36 |
17:25 |
17:10 |
17:36 |
|
| 380 |
Peyton Hollan |
12 |
17:24 |
16:56 |
16:47 |
17:04 |
17:10 |
17:54 |
17:07 |
|
17:49 |
|
17:58 |
17:19 |
17:44 |
17:22 |
|
| 446 |
Chase Rusch |
12 |
17:32 |
18:03 |
17:46 |
17:44 |
17:41 |
17:30 |
17:33 |
|
17:47 |
17:27 |
17:36 |
17:38 |
17:13 |
19:12 |
|
| 731 |
Chance Craig |
9 |
17:59 |
17:52 |
17:49 |
17:51 |
17:47 |
17:15 |
18:30 |
|
17:33 |
17:59 |
18:08 |
17:44 |
18:52 |
18:34 |
|
| 837 |
Wyatt Beck |
9 |
18:07 |
18:06 |
18:02 |
18:22 |
17:58 |
17:59 |
18:06 |
|
18:00 |
18:20 |
18:23 |
17:56 |
18:17 |
17:59 |
|
|
Xavier Rahe |
10 |
19:08 |
18:26 |
18:41 |
|
19:10 |
|
19:03 |
18:58 |
19:09 |
19:20 |
|
|
19:49 |
|
|
|
Luke Watts |
11 |
19:11 |
19:15 |
18:37 |
19:26 |
18:44 |
19:09 |
18:55 |
19:21 |
|
19:03 |
19:27 |
19:42 |
|
19:05 |
|
|
Connor Neace |
9 |
19:25 |
19:22 |
19:02 |
|
19:28 |
|
18:52 |
19:44 |
|
19:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
7.4 |
244 |
|
|
0.1 |
2.7 |
10.2 |
26.5 |
22.5 |
13.2 |
9.4 |
5.6 |
4.3 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.9 |
87 |
0.0 |
10.0 |
89.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
43 |
11.8 |
88.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Fugate |
57.4% |
73.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
57.4% |
57.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Fugate |
100% |
18.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Josiah White |
100% |
57.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Peyton Hollan |
100% |
65.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Chase Rusch |
100% |
74.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.4% |
| Chance Craig |
100% |
111.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
66.7% |
| Wyatt Beck |
100% |
122.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Fugate |
100% |
3.2 |
4.3 |
21.7 |
20.2 |
15.5 |
13.6 |
9.9 |
6.5 |
3.7 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Josiah White |
100% |
16.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
5.6 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
8.6 |
9.1 |
9.8 |
10.1 |
9.6 |
7.1 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Peyton Hollan |
100% |
18.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
8.3 |
9.7 |
11.3 |
10.3 |
9.8 |
8.4 |
7.2 |
5.8 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Chase Rusch |
100% |
21.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
4.2 |
6.0 |
7.5 |
10.1 |
12.1 |
10.9 |
11.5 |
10.9 |
8.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Chance Craig |
100% |
29.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Wyatt Beck |
100% |
32.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Fugate |
1.2 |
43.0 |
33.9 |
15.8 |
6.0 |
1.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Josiah White |
6.1 |
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
4.0 |
12.8 |
29.1 |
21.8 |
13.0 |
8.2 |
5.2 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Peyton Hollan |
7.7 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
4.2 |
12.1 |
19.8 |
19.3 |
15.7 |
12.0 |
8.0 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Chase Rusch |
9.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.9 |
7.4 |
15.1 |
16.4 |
17.0 |
15.0 |
13.0 |
8.4 |
2.5 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Chance Craig |
15.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
10.0 |
17.8 |
14.1 |
11.8 |
9.8 |
6.9 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
| Wyatt Beck |
18.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.6 |
6.1 |
10.3 |
9.7 |
10.0 |
9.3 |
9.0 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
6.3 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
|
