All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Ripley County Meet |
East Central Invitational |
Big Blue Invitational |
South Dearborn Invitational |
Eastern Indiana Athletic Conf. |
Greensburg Invitational |
South Dearborn Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/12 |
8/30 |
9/1 |
9/11 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/27 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
| Team Rating |
608 |
494 |
NEI |
586 |
541 |
588 |
625 |
735 |
645 |
582 |
848 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
494 |
NEI |
586 |
541 |
588 |
625 |
735 |
645 |
582 |
680 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Ripley County Meet |
East Central Invitational |
Big Blue Invitational |
South Dearborn Invitational |
Eastern Indiana Athletic Conf. |
Greensburg Invitational |
South Dearborn Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 75 |
Ean Loichinger |
9 |
16:29 |
15:53 |
NEI |
16:33 |
16:26 |
16:43 |
16:58 |
17:08 |
16:25 |
16:38 |
|
| 280 |
Adam Moster |
11 |
17:09 |
17:00 |
NEI |
17:01 |
17:06 |
16:56 |
17:14 |
17:31 |
17:08 |
16:55 |
17:56 |
| 535 |
Joshua Myers |
11 |
17:41 |
17:26 |
NEI |
17:32 |
16:55 |
17:44 |
17:44 |
17:42 |
18:16 |
17:43 |
18:06 |
| 614 |
Benjamin Moster |
9 |
17:49 |
17:38 |
NEI |
17:50 |
18:00 |
17:26 |
17:44 |
18:08 |
18:01 |
17:43 |
17:36 |
| 1,052 |
Dillon Murray |
10 |
18:24 |
18:17 |
NEI |
18:21 |
18:32 |
18:32 |
18:22 |
18:46 |
18:11 |
18:15 |
18:19 |
| 1,177 |
Adam Hollowell |
10 |
18:33 |
17:59 |
NEI |
18:41 |
18:14 |
18:47 |
18:14 |
|
|
18:48 |
18:43 |
| 1,336 |
Luke Esser |
11 |
18:45 |
|
|
19:52 |
18:56 |
19:07 |
19:07 |
|
18:19 |
|
|
| 1,485 |
Nathan Eckstein |
12 |
18:55 |
|
NEI |
19:20 |
18:51 |
18:47 |
18:51 |
|
|
18:49 |
19:02 |
|
Daren Smith |
9 |
19:29 |
|
|
20:03 |
19:25 |
19:19 |
18:43 |
|
20:05 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
15.9 |
404 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
4.3 |
9.1 |
12.1 |
14.0 |
14.5 |
14.9 |
15.7 |
13.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.1 |
87 |
|
2.2 |
89.4 |
8.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
25 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ean Loichinger |
31.3% |
57.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
31.3% |
31.3% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ean Loichinger |
100% |
27.4 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Adam Moster |
100% |
82.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Joshua Myers |
100% |
125.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
| Benjamin Moster |
100% |
133.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.2% |
| Dillon Murray |
100% |
160.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
39.4% |
| Adam Hollowell |
100% |
165.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.1% |
| Luke Esser |
100% |
170.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ean Loichinger |
100% |
4.1 |
5.6 |
10.1 |
13.7 |
18.5 |
27.4 |
12.6 |
5.1 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Adam Moster |
100% |
12.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
6.7 |
8.1 |
11.3 |
17.1 |
17.5 |
12.9 |
8.0 |
4.5 |
2.6 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Joshua Myers |
100% |
20.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
5.4 |
7.9 |
10.2 |
12.0 |
13.6 |
14.6 |
11.8 |
7.8 |
5.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Benjamin Moster |
100% |
22.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
4.3 |
7.6 |
9.2 |
12.2 |
14.8 |
15.1 |
11.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Dillon Murray |
100% |
34.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Adam Hollowell |
100% |
39.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Luke Esser |
100% |
46.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ean Loichinger |
1.0 |
99.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Adam Moster |
1.7 |
|
70.5 |
27.3 |
2.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Joshua Myers |
4.4 |
|
0.0 |
6.0 |
30.4 |
31.4 |
22.4 |
8.9 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Benjamin Moster |
5.6 |
|
|
1.3 |
8.3 |
20.5 |
32.9 |
33.1 |
2.9 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dillon Murray |
9.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
1.5 |
23.3 |
16.9 |
13.0 |
11.4 |
11.0 |
8.1 |
6.5 |
4.1 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Adam Hollowell |
12.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
5.0 |
9.8 |
10.1 |
10.4 |
11.3 |
11.4 |
11.9 |
10.0 |
9.6 |
5.5 |
3.2 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Luke Esser |
15.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
6.8 |
9.3 |
11.9 |
13.8 |
16.6 |
13.0 |
11.2 |
3.8 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
