All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational |
Caston Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Cass County |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Hoosier North Athletic Conf. |
Culver Academies Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/11 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
849 |
931 |
763 |
|
884 |
890 |
891 |
NEI |
857 |
846 |
889 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
931 |
763 |
|
884 |
890 |
891 |
NEI |
857 |
846 |
889 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational |
Caston Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Cass County |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Hoosier North Athletic Conf. |
Culver Academies Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 20 |
Mitchell Rans |
12 |
16:00 |
16:30 |
16:31 |
|
16:50 |
16:13 |
16:11 |
NEI |
16:20 |
16:10 |
16:04 |
15:53 |
| 370 |
Bryan Hernandez-Rios |
12 |
17:23 |
17:21 |
16:48 |
|
17:19 |
17:02 |
17:26 |
NEI |
17:51 |
17:17 |
17:30 |
|
| 573 |
Micah Colvin |
10 |
17:44 |
17:39 |
17:29 |
18:46 |
17:39 |
17:37 |
17:46 |
NEI |
17:30 |
17:42 |
17:59 |
|
| 1,401 |
Dakota Oldfather |
11 |
18:49 |
19:32 |
18:20 |
18:57 |
18:41 |
19:01 |
18:58 |
NEI |
18:55 |
18:46 |
18:47 |
|
|
Luke Lowe |
11 |
20:30 |
20:33 |
20:20 |
|
20:36 |
21:24 |
20:38 |
NEI |
20:03 |
20:32 |
20:38 |
|
|
Mark Smith |
12 |
21:16 |
21:11 |
21:57 |
21:29 |
21:15 |
21:08 |
20:56 |
NEI |
21:20 |
21:08 |
21:41 |
|
|
Brock Buczkowski |
12 |
21:37 |
21:52 |
21:21 |
22:18 |
21:30 |
21:51 |
21:21 |
NEI |
21:30 |
21:27 |
22:21 |
|
|
Wyatt Brumett |
11 |
22:02 |
21:16 |
22:43 |
|
22:00 |
23:34 |
21:24 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
14.8 |
399 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
15.5 |
27.4 |
27.8 |
19.2 |
7.8 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.0 |
114 |
|
1.3 |
16.9 |
59.8 |
20.7 |
1.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.8 |
96 |
|
2.7 |
29.4 |
54.9 |
13.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mitchell Rans |
100% |
21.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Bryan Hernandez-Rios |
0.0% |
128.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mitchell Rans |
100% |
3.9 |
1.8 |
12.2 |
18.2 |
20.8 |
17.6 |
10.1 |
6.4 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bryan Hernandez-Rios |
100% |
67.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Micah Colvin |
100% |
99.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.2% |
| Dakota Oldfather |
100% |
165.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mitchell Rans |
100% |
1.0 |
98.5 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bryan Hernandez-Rios |
100% |
6.5 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
4.2 |
15.2 |
22.1 |
17.8 |
13.1 |
8.7 |
7.4 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Micah Colvin |
100% |
13.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
4.2 |
6.4 |
7.2 |
9.2 |
10.0 |
9.3 |
9.5 |
8.7 |
7.5 |
5.6 |
4.9 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Dakota Oldfather |
100% |
46.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
99.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mitchell Rans |
1.0 |
98.1 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bryan Hernandez-Rios |
5.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
4.8 |
15.6 |
30.9 |
17.6 |
13.4 |
8.1 |
4.8 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Micah Colvin |
10.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.4 |
5.8 |
7.6 |
10.6 |
12.1 |
14.4 |
13.1 |
11.1 |
8.6 |
5.9 |
3.9 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Dakota Oldfather |
30.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
|
