Danville
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #106
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #33
Ben Davis Regional Rank #9
South Putnam Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Hendricks County THSB State Preview Avon Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/28 9/1 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 835 777 867 901 894 863 826 775
Team Adjusted Rating 777 814 872 894 863 826 775
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hendricks County THSB State Preview Avon Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
454  Alec Means 9 17:33 17:13 17:31 17:28 17:56 17:40 17:25 17:24 17:42
699  Josh Cruz 11 17:57 18:42 18:29 18:30 17:44 18:02 17:38
861  Garrett Deskovick 11 18:09 17:38 17:59 18:11 18:22 18:22 18:07
992  Wyatt Dorsey 10 18:19 18:35 18:37 18:30 18:08 18:14 18:27 18:10
1,179  Joe Oliver 11 18:33 17:51 18:11 18:22 19:03 19:23 18:08 19:00
1,256  Jake Roof 9 18:38 18:30 18:36 18:31 18:30 18:49 19:25 18:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.1 231 0.1 0.2 1.3 83.6 14.8
Sectionals 100% 5.0 137 0.4 2.1 97.3 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 23.5% 104.6 23.5% 23.5%
Josh Cruz 0.3% 124.0 0.3% 0.3%
Garrett Deskovick 0.0% 132.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 100% 36.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 100.0%
Josh Cruz 100% 48.6 100.0%
Garrett Deskovick 100% 54.4 100.0%
Wyatt Dorsey 100% 59.8 99.4%
Joe Oliver 100% 68.3 93.5%
Jake Roof 100% 71.0 87.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.3 2.0 3.5 4.7 6.9 9.0 13.5 18.1 13.4 9.7 6.9 4.2 2.9 1.2
Josh Cruz 24.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.2 3.4 6.0 7.4 10.1 13.3 14.9
Garrett Deskovick 27.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.1 3.6 6.4
Wyatt Dorsey 30.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5
Joe Oliver 34.4 0.0 0.0
Jake Roof 36.0 0.0