East Central
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #148
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #39
Shelbyville Regional Rank #7
South Dearborn Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Richmond Invitational East Central Invitational BC Eagle Classic Riverview Health Flashrock Invite Connersville Spartan Invitational Eastern Indiana Athletic Conf. Greensburg Invitational South Dearborn Sectional Shelbyville Regional
Date 8/18 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/18 9/22 9/27 10/6 10/13
Team Rating 1,051 977 945 916 1,066 1,110 1,070 1,045 1,105
Team Adjusted Rating 977 945 916 1,066 1,110 1,060 1,045 1,086
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Richmond Invitational East Central Invitational BC Eagle Classic Riverview Health Flashrock Invite Connersville Spartan Invitational Eastern Indiana Athletic Conf. Greensburg Invitational South Dearborn Sectional Shelbyville Regional
996  Kyle Gutfreund 12 18:19 18:19 18:15 17:48 18:17 18:18 18:18 18:40 18:20 18:25
1,097  Garrett Ardis 12 18:27 18:17 18:10 17:58 18:36 18:56 18:19 18:31 18:57 18:20
1,148  Michael Schwebach 9 18:30 18:32 18:17 18:27 18:20 18:36 18:37 18:19 18:51
1,260  Griffin Werner 10 18:38 18:24 18:37 18:22 18:42 18:52 18:47 18:21 18:45
Anders Fox 11 19:17 18:44 18:34 18:56 19:29 21:49
Kyle Schuman 12 19:37 20:31 19:34 20:28 19:36 19:16 19:46 19:11 19:49
Owen Hagen 10 19:39 19:37 19:49 19:15 20:06 19:30 19:50 19:31
Greg Schneider 12 19:58 19:47 20:11 19:55
Parker Fleming 9 20:02 20:43 20:09 21:03 19:36 19:39 20:03
James Stenger 10 20:17 20:40 20:47 19:52 20:53 19:25 20:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.8 184 9.8 30.6 32.7 26.6 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.5 69 52.5 47.5 0.1 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Gutfreund 62.2% 155.8 62.2% 62.2%
Garrett Ardis 32.6% 159.2 32.6% 32.6%
Michael Schwebach 20.4% 160.2 20.4% 20.4%
Griffin Werner 4.7% 163.7 4.7% 4.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Gutfreund 100% 31.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.6 100.0%
Garrett Ardis 100% 36.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 100.0%
Michael Schwebach 100% 38.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 100.0%
Griffin Werner 100% 42.9 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Gutfreund 8.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 4.8 33.5 20.5 13.8 9.6 5.9 4.4 3.2 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.1
Garrett Ardis 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 9.1 16.6 17.0 13.9 12.1 9.6 6.8 5.4 4.1 2.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
Michael Schwebach 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.1 10.5 13.8 14.1 13.3 11.5 10.4 8.5 5.6 4.5 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Griffin Werner 13.8 0.1 0.6 2.5 5.1 8.7 10.5 12.6 11.9 12.5 11.6 10.4 7.5 4.9 0.9 0.2 0.0