Elkhart Central
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #73
New Haven Semi-State Rank #23
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #7
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Elkhart Central Early Bird NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conf. Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/12 8/18 8/25 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 649 797 762 1,015 677 707 634 632 666 601 707
Team Adjusted Rating 676 671 707 677 707 634 632 666 601 707
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Elkhart Central Early Bird NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conf. Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
98  Nathan Dibley 12 16:37 17:28 16:33 16:49 16:57 16:41 16:51 16:36 16:28 16:25
315  Elias Soto 12 17:15 17:25 17:08 17:25 17:04 17:18 17:14 17:04 17:18 17:00 18:12
593  Eric Garcia 11 17:47 18:32 18:05 18:05 17:53 18:06 17:52 17:48 17:34
653  Jose Quinones 10 17:52 17:32 20:08 18:13 17:56 17:58 17:25 17:36 17:37 18:14
1,217  Sergio Delacruz 11 18:35 18:02 18:24 18:35 18:55 18:10 18:42 18:57 19:03 18:22
1,299  Austin Garcia 12 18:41 18:20 18:55 18:50 18:38 18:38 18:24 18:31 19:24 18:33 19:04
Cody Charters 9 19:03 20:17 18:52 20:38 18:19 20:38 18:53 19:47 19:04 18:49
Ty Windy 11 19:43 22:23 20:06 19:47 19:49 19:35 19:23 19:22 19:55
Jay Vindel 9 19:49 19:54 20:06 19:36 19:59 19:35 20:03 19:39
Dylan Duran 10 20:03 19:17 20:16
Luis F. Perez 11 20:20 20:10 20:01 19:49 20:17 21:21 21:08 20:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 16.5 413 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.9 3.5 10.0 23.2 43.1 16.5 0.5
Regionals 100% 6.7 150 0.3 1.1 3.8 12.6 22.5 29.3 25.1 5.4
Sectionals 100% 4.4 99 0.2 2.0 14.3 29.0 50.0 4.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Dibley 16.8% 67.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.8% 16.8%
Elias Soto 0.0% 109.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Dibley 100% 31.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.6 1.8 2.8 2.4 2.7 3.1 2.9 3.0 100.0%
Elias Soto 100% 92.6 0.0 82.4%
Eric Garcia 100% 134.3 5.8%
Jose Quinones 100% 139.1 2.0%
Sergio Delacruz 100% 164.6 0.0%
Austin Garcia 100% 166.4 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Dibley 100% 4.4 3.1 9.5 15.4 16.3 15.1 13.0 10.3 7.0 3.7 2.6 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Elias Soto 100% 18.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.5 3.4 3.8 5.0 6.0 5.4 4.9 5.2 5.6 5.4 5.9 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.3 3.6 100.0%
Eric Garcia 100% 38.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 100.0%
Jose Quinones 100% 41.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Sergio Delacruz 100% 63.8 55.1%
Austin Garcia 100% 67.9 38.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Dibley 2.3 5.7 37.0 28.0 18.2 6.3 2.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Elias Soto 10.1 0.2 1.2 4.1 7.0 8.0 9.9 9.2 9.8 8.9 8.2 7.3 5.6 6.1 4.6 4.1 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eric Garcia 21.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.1 2.3 2.4 3.9 5.0 8.1 10.0 10.8 10.3 9.6 7.9 6.8
Jose Quinones 23.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.1 2.5 4.7 6.0 8.1 9.4 9.4 8.5 8.3
Sergio Delacruz 39.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Austin Garcia 41.8 0.0