All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conf. |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/25 |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
498 |
927 |
606 |
651 |
584 |
521 |
597 |
512 |
535 |
429 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
642 |
606 |
582 |
584 |
521 |
597 |
512 |
535 |
429 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Penn Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conf. |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 35 |
Felix Perez-Diener |
12 |
16:13 |
|
16:23 |
16:36 |
16:10 |
16:18 |
16:26 |
16:23 |
16:41 |
16:02 |
16:22 |
| 298 |
Jonathon Snyder |
12 |
17:12 |
|
17:46 |
|
17:31 |
17:12 |
17:53 |
16:59 |
17:30 |
17:00 |
|
| 364 |
Angel Arrelo |
12 |
17:22 |
18:00 |
17:13 |
17:26 |
17:38 |
17:15 |
17:20 |
17:15 |
17:24 |
17:17 |
|
| 436 |
Cole Johnston |
9 |
17:30 |
18:24 |
18:12 |
18:04 |
17:56 |
17:51 |
17:44 |
17:53 |
17:22 |
17:18 |
|
| 610 |
Ryan Diaz |
10 |
17:49 |
19:25 |
18:29 |
18:43 |
18:20 |
18:18 |
18:04 |
17:59 |
18:08 |
17:36 |
|
| 672 |
Adrian Mora |
9 |
17:55 |
18:23 |
18:03 |
18:01 |
17:55 |
17:49 |
18:02 |
17:50 |
17:45 |
17:48 |
|
| 811 |
Sam Miller |
12 |
18:06 |
18:47 |
18:05 |
18:01 |
18:31 |
18:12 |
18:00 |
18:08 |
17:47 |
|
|
| 1,104 |
Griffin Hetler |
11 |
18:28 |
18:06 |
18:27 |
18:13 |
21:06 |
18:23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jocsan Barahona |
10 |
19:07 |
18:58 |
|
19:09 |
19:15 |
19:15 |
|
|
|
18:58 |
|
|
Jacob Near |
10 |
19:08 |
19:01 |
|
19:12 |
18:55 |
19:21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cesar Moreno |
11 |
19:11 |
|
|
19:07 |
19:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Demetrius Gulewicz |
12 |
19:13 |
|
19:20 |
19:05 |
19:27 |
19:09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Giovani Teran |
12 |
19:31 |
|
20:19 |
18:46 |
20:30 |
19:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
12.8 |
328 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
2.2 |
4.7 |
8.4 |
12.6 |
14.9 |
15.8 |
16.5 |
14.1 |
7.7 |
2.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.3 |
102 |
7.5 |
22.6 |
26.9 |
26.0 |
11.2 |
4.0 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
63 |
27.4 |
52.4 |
15.4 |
4.1 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Felix Perez-Diener |
88.3% |
38.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
88.3% |
88.3% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Felix Perez-Diener |
100% |
11.8 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
5.2 |
6.7 |
7.8 |
8.5 |
9.2 |
8.2 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Jonathon Snyder |
100% |
87.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
88.1% |
| Angel Arrelo |
100% |
103.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
65.5% |
| Cole Johnston |
100% |
116.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.2% |
| Ryan Diaz |
100% |
136.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.7% |
| Adrian Mora |
100% |
141.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
| Sam Miller |
100% |
149.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Felix Perez-Diener |
100% |
1.0 |
64.5 |
21.4 |
8.0 |
3.6 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jonathon Snyder |
100% |
16.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
5.4 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Angel Arrelo |
100% |
23.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Cole Johnston |
100% |
28.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Ryan Diaz |
100% |
39.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Adrian Mora |
100% |
42.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Miller |
100% |
48.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
99.1% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Felix Perez-Diener |
1.0 |
87.9 |
9.2 |
2.2 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jonathon Snyder |
9.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
5.9 |
8.4 |
10.6 |
11.2 |
11.3 |
10.3 |
9.2 |
8.2 |
6.8 |
5.0 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Angel Arrelo |
12.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
8.3 |
9.3 |
8.9 |
9.7 |
9.5 |
8.3 |
6.7 |
5.5 |
3.6 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Cole Johnston |
16.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
5.2 |
6.5 |
8.3 |
8.3 |
9.9 |
11.3 |
11.0 |
9.3 |
6.8 |
4.3 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
| Ryan Diaz |
22.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
5.1 |
6.7 |
8.7 |
10.6 |
11.1 |
10.2 |
9.6 |
8.5 |
| Adrian Mora |
24.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
5.1 |
6.4 |
7.6 |
9.2 |
9.8 |
9.6 |
| Sam Miller |
28.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
5.6 |
|
