Hagerstown
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #102
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #31
Rushville Regional Rank #9
Connersville Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Richmond Invitational Marion Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Tri-Eastern Conf. Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/18 9/1 9/11 9/15 9/18 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 822 765 756 830 823 744 834 835 818 874
Team Adjusted Rating 765 756 830 823 744 834 835 818 874
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Richmond Invitational Marion Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Tri-Eastern Conf. Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
246  Elijah Halcomb 11 17:04 17:10 17:41 17:07 17:17 17:05 17:13 17:02 16:51 17:03 17:09
549  Logan Tuttle 12 17:43 17:48 17:16 17:59 17:48 17:32 17:37 18:02 17:38 17:42 17:33
1,098  Quentin Osborne 9 18:27 18:02 18:21 18:25 18:36 18:10 18:31 18:20 18:28 18:53
1,138  Holden Robinson 12 18:30 18:19 18:01 18:36 18:17 18:15 18:25 18:31 18:46 18:47
1,250  Blake Creech 10 18:38 18:19 18:28 18:23 18:33 18:21 18:43 18:36 19:15 18:46
1,429  Alexander McKee 12 18:51 18:26 18:59 18:58 18:26 19:03 18:48 19:01 19:11 18:43
1,535  Dylan Napier 12 18:58 19:48 19:16 18:33 19:03 18:24 18:52 19:44 18:33 19:40
Adam Nadler 11 19:36 19:46 18:12 19:46 19:30 19:47 19:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.3 168 0.1 0.8 19.5 31.6 48.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.3 58 18.2 30.1 51.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elijah Halcomb 100% 73.7 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Logan Tuttle 79.5% 124.0 79.5% 79.5%
Quentin Osborne 0.1% 146.5 0.1% 0.1%
Holden Robinson 0.1% 157.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elijah Halcomb 100% 7.5 2.5 5.8 8.1 9.1 10.2 9.4 9.9 9.0 7.8 7.1 6.1 5.5 3.4 2.6 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Logan Tuttle 100% 23.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.6 2.2 3.4 4.2 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.7 100.0%
Quentin Osborne 100% 55.2 0.0 100.0%
Holden Robinson 100% 56.6 100.0%
Blake Creech 100% 60.6 100.0%
Alexander McKee 100% 67.2 100.0%
Dylan Napier 100% 71.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elijah Halcomb 1.1 42.8 53.5 2.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
Logan Tuttle 5.2 0.5 17.5 15.5 13.6 14.6 13.8 10.9 6.5 3.5 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
Quentin Osborne 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.0 8.1 12.8 15.6 13.7 11.9 9.9 7.3 4.4 3.1 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.4
Holden Robinson 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 3.2 5.7 9.2 12.3 14.4 11.8 11.2 8.9 6.3 4.6 3.2 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.8
Blake Creech 17.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 2.5 5.4 8.0 11.0 11.2 11.4 10.2 8.8 6.7 5.0 4.4 3.5 2.9
Alexander McKee 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.2 2.9 4.3 5.9 6.6 8.2 7.9 8.1 7.3 7.3
Dylan Napier 27.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.4 2.4 3.0 4.1 5.1 5.9 6.4 6.3