All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invite |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conf. |
Gavit Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
8/25 |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
350 |
|
314 |
938 |
|
328 |
|
382 |
410 |
407 |
388 |
318 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
|
314 |
404 |
|
328 |
|
382 |
410 |
407 |
388 |
318 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invite |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conf. |
Gavit Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 14 |
Lucas Guerra |
10 |
15:55 |
|
15:51 |
15:50 |
|
15:41 |
|
16:19 |
16:33 |
16:01 |
16:17 |
15:48 |
| 162 |
Ben Salinas |
11 |
16:53 |
|
16:39 |
|
|
16:32 |
|
17:08 |
16:59 |
17:03 |
16:54 |
16:49 |
| 232 |
Vinnie Bovino |
12 |
17:02 |
|
17:06 |
|
|
17:17 |
|
17:04 |
17:06 |
17:10 |
17:02 |
16:54 |
| 250 |
Mateo Garcia |
11 |
17:05 |
17:02 |
16:50 |
|
17:21 |
16:50 |
|
17:01 |
17:09 |
17:16 |
17:10 |
17:00 |
| 304 |
Eric Alegre |
12 |
17:13 |
|
17:07 |
18:14 |
|
17:14 |
|
17:09 |
17:20 |
17:26 |
17:20 |
17:06 |
| 603 |
Matt Roach |
12 |
17:48 |
17:43 |
|
17:56 |
|
17:25 |
18:27 |
17:45 |
17:51 |
17:49 |
17:39 |
17:46 |
| 967 |
Adam Ackerman |
10 |
18:17 |
|
|
|
|
|
18:34 |
|
18:31 |
18:59 |
18:13 |
18:10 |
|
Colin Gomez |
10 |
20:02 |
20:51 |
20:04 |
|
|
20:22 |
20:03 |
19:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Alex Salazar |
11 |
20:15 |
20:35 |
20:11 |
20:00 |
20:28 |
20:14 |
19:56 |
20:36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Nick Markus |
11 |
21:05 |
21:19 |
21:19 |
21:12 |
20:56 |
21:40 |
21:05 |
20:37 |
|
|
|
|
|
Nico Hernandez |
12 |
21:34 |
20:43 |
21:49 |
21:39 |
|
21:58 |
21:29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Julian Gray |
10 |
21:51 |
20:20 |
23:35 |
|
|
21:33 |
22:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Ayon |
10 |
26:29 |
|
|
19:28 |
28:03 |
26:46 |
27:54 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
17.3 |
403 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
6.2 |
7.7 |
9.8 |
10.7 |
13.0 |
11.1 |
7.4 |
3.6 |
1.1 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
4.4 |
148 |
10.4 |
13.1 |
13.0 |
14.9 |
16.4 |
14.5 |
9.5 |
4.7 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.3 |
56 |
15.0 |
41.3 |
41.6 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
24 |
96.9 |
3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucas Guerra |
100% |
16.6 |
|
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Ben Salinas |
100% |
117.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.9% |
| Vinnie Bovino |
100% |
135.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.8% |
| Mateo Garcia |
100% |
141.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.9% |
| Eric Alegre |
100% |
156.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
| Matt Roach |
100% |
195.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Adam Ackerman |
100% |
205.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucas Guerra |
100% |
2.9 |
5.2 |
22.6 |
25.4 |
18.8 |
11.4 |
6.5 |
4.1 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ben Salinas |
100% |
29.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Vinnie Bovino |
100% |
39.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Mateo Garcia |
100% |
43.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Eric Alegre |
100% |
54.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Matt Roach |
100% |
105.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
82.5% |
| Adam Ackerman |
100% |
142.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.8% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucas Guerra |
100% |
2.2 |
5.6 |
35.0 |
53.9 |
5.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ben Salinas |
100% |
9.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
4.0 |
9.1 |
10.6 |
11.7 |
14.1 |
13.2 |
10.5 |
9.3 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Vinnie Bovino |
100% |
11.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
3.3 |
5.6 |
7.5 |
9.3 |
11.2 |
11.7 |
10.8 |
10.0 |
7.8 |
6.0 |
4.1 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Mateo Garcia |
100% |
13.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
5.9 |
10.1 |
10.8 |
11.0 |
10.4 |
9.2 |
7.9 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Eric Alegre |
100% |
16.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
4.6 |
6.6 |
8.1 |
9.5 |
10.3 |
8.8 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
6.6 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Matt Roach |
100% |
32.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Adam Ackerman |
100% |
43.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucas Guerra |
1.0 |
99.3 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ben Salinas |
2.9 |
|
12.7 |
42.2 |
25.8 |
11.7 |
4.9 |
1.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vinnie Bovino |
4.6 |
|
1.5 |
10.4 |
23.7 |
25.7 |
18.5 |
11.1 |
4.8 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mateo Garcia |
5.3 |
|
0.9 |
5.4 |
14.6 |
22.8 |
22.7 |
15.5 |
9.4 |
5.3 |
2.4 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Eric Alegre |
7.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
2.4 |
7.1 |
16.1 |
23.7 |
19.9 |
13.6 |
10.0 |
5.0 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Matt Roach |
12.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
3.7 |
8.7 |
17.4 |
20.8 |
18.0 |
12.3 |
8.0 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Adam Ackerman |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.6 |
3.7 |
6.9 |
9.6 |
11.9 |
14.1 |
15.3 |
15.8 |
12.9 |
4.7 |
2.2 |
0.6 |
|
