Leo
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #95
New Haven Semi-State Rank #29
West Noble Regional Rank #12
Northrop Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional
Date 8/18 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13
Team Rating 791 673 557 904 827 818 802 756
Team Adjusted Rating 673 557 904 827 773 802 756
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional
376  Tristian Alcantar 11 17:23 17:01 16:29 17:47 17:13 17:26 17:15 17:15 17:44
448  Tyler Hartleroad 9 17:32 17:46 17:25 18:31 18:11 17:28 17:29 17:19 17:14
905  Joel Fowerbaugh 11 18:13 17:18 17:31 17:56 18:31 18:51 18:09
1,058  Donovin Setser 11 18:24 18:20 19:30 18:39 18:17 18:15 18:09 18:54
1,071  AJ Harding 12 18:25 17:49 18:38 18:13 18:22 18:32 18:25
1,175  Jackson Ringwood 10 18:33 18:05 17:41 18:30 18:56 18:40 18:23
1,442  Jeffrey Marshall 12 18:51 18:48 18:44 18:40 19:13 18:46 18:48 18:57
Hunter Dimond 12 19:09 20:09 19:21 18:59 18:46 19:06 19:26
Michael McHugh 12 19:51 19:17 20:15
Kaleb Berghoff 11 19:52 19:46 19:58 19:37 19:22 21:03
Drake Sander 9 20:13 21:54 21:12 19:22 20:39 19:35 20:31
Daniel Sell 10 23:04 18:11 22:53 21:45 23:28 23:24




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 7.9 215 0.1 0.7 4.7 94.0 0.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tristian Alcantar 2.2% 79.2 2.2% 2.2%
Tyler Hartleroad 0.1% 115.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tristian Alcantar 97.3% 48.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 97.3% 97.3%
Tyler Hartleroad 88.6% 54.0 0.0 88.6% 88.6%
Joel Fowerbaugh 1.8% 64.0 1.8% 1.8%
Donovin Setser 0.1% 70.0 0.1% 0.1%
AJ Harding 0.1% 67.5 0.1% 0.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tristian Alcantar 30.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.4 3.2
Tyler Hartleroad 34.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0
Joel Fowerbaugh 47.7
Donovin Setser 50.8
AJ Harding 51.0
Jackson Ringwood 53.2
Jeffrey Marshall 57.8