Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #21
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #7
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Harrison 8-Way Hamilton County Columbus North Classic Wildcat Classic Riverview Health Flashrock Invite Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/21 8/28 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 335 427 367 369 353 324 387 509 395 397 316
Team Adjusted Rating 334 367 369 353 324 387 338 343 381 305
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Harrison 8-Way Hamilton County Columbus North Classic Wildcat Classic Riverview Health Flashrock Invite Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
26  Travis Hickner 10 16:06 16:05 16:26 16:23 16:10 16:15 16:20 16:41 16:04 16:00
163  Justin Amburgy 12 16:53 16:38 17:03 17:11 16:38 17:46 16:47 16:49 16:45
186  Billy Gregory 10 16:57 16:51 17:13 18:11 18:01 17:45 17:14 17:23 16:54 17:16 16:45
223  Cole Kimmel 10 17:01 17:07 18:14 17:09 16:53 16:51 16:53 17:14 16:55 16:53
248  Blake Hipkiss 12 17:04 17:32 16:45 16:55 17:01 17:14
268  Nick Dombroski 12 17:08 17:12 17:11 16:59 17:07 17:15 16:57 17:13 17:12
354  Jack Taylor 11 17:20 17:08 17:14 17:07 17:28 17:10 17:23 17:45
427  Ian Montarsi 10 17:29 17:12 17:13 17:50 17:58 17:33 17:22
433  Andrew Knight 9 17:30 17:53 17:23 17:45 17:20 17:23 17:32
434  Seth Koszyk 11 17:30 17:36 17:40 17:14 17:09 17:17 17:06 17:34 17:49 18:05
441  Kolby Kazmierski 9 17:31 17:30 17:49 17:53 17:44 17:36 17:27 17:03 17:23 17:21 17:50
471  Evan Campbell 10 17:35 17:22 18:54 17:19 17:24 17:38 17:37
607  Luke Shinneman 9 17:48 17:25 17:16 17:18 17:15 17:58 20:17 18:21
625  Garrett Olges 12 17:49 18:09 17:47 17:48 17:44 17:48
638  Nate Foster 10 17:51 17:36 17:32 17:47 17:47 18:03 18:07
805  Sam Chezem 12 18:06 17:46 18:25 17:53 18:04 18:18
946  Alex Hipkiss 10 18:16 18:27 18:16 18:08 18:30 18:05
969  Joel Mumaw 9 18:17 18:04 18:16 18:41 18:19 18:14
987  Andrew Anderson 10 18:18 17:41 18:33
998  Thadeus Shipley 10 18:20 18:29 18:37 18:26 18:19 17:58
1,061  Braedon Gossard 12 18:24 19:24 18:28 17:53 17:53 18:44
1,162  Jack Harmeyer 10 18:31 18:40 19:05 18:29 18:01
1,310  Brendon Donnelly 12 18:42 18:42 18:26 18:36 19:02
1,418  Caleb Howell 9 18:50 18:39 19:13 18:42
1,436  Alex Cole 9 18:51 18:43 18:39 18:54 19:08 18:50
1,553  Nathan Smith 10 18:59 18:56 19:05 19:07 19:02 18:48
1,562  Jack Hickner 10 18:59 18:52 18:49 18:58 18:49 19:50
Logan Warner 10 19:07 17:04 19:42 18:51 19:27 19:10 19:14
Dwayne Zeissig 12 19:09 19:22 19:22 19:21 19:04 18:50
Caleb Dugger 10 19:10 19:18 18:53 19:18 19:21 19:06
Levi Call 9 19:11 18:57 19:09 19:06 19:07 19:36
Jacob Lotridge 10 19:18 19:42 19:18 20:04 19:08 18:53
Garion Eaton 10 19:31 19:47 19:34 20:23 19:21 18:58
Tyler Scroggin 11 19:48 19:20 20:15 20:50 18:53 19:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 6.8 210 0.0 0.6 4.0 10.1 14.0 16.7 18.4 14.1 10.3 7.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.3 124 0.1 1.0 19.9 45.5 20.7 10.8 1.7 0.5
Sectionals 100% 2.4 62 0.2 65.9 32.3 1.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Travis Hickner 94.0% 28.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.3 2.5 2.4 3.2 3.1 2.9 94.0% 94.0%
Justin Amburgy 0.7% 86.5 0.7% 0.7%
Billy Gregory 0.3% 87.0 0.3% 0.3%
Cole Kimmel 0.1% 92.0 0.1% 0.1%
Blake Hipkiss 0.0% 107.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Travis Hickner 100% 7.9 1.3 6.6 10.3 9.7 8.1 7.5 7.4 6.2 5.0 4.3 3.8 3.7 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.3 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.5 0.8 0.8 100.0%
Justin Amburgy 100% 53.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 94.2%
Billy Gregory 100% 60.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 89.7%
Cole Kimmel 100% 66.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 83.1%
Blake Hipkiss 100% 73.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.2%
Nick Dombroski 100% 80.1 65.3%
Jack Taylor 100% 99.1 30.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Travis Hickner 100% 4.9 2.0 18.8 17.3 13.5 10.6 8.1 6.9 5.6 4.4 3.9 2.5 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Justin Amburgy 100% 26.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.7 1.6 2.9 2.9 3.9 4.4 5.3 5.4 5.7 5.8 100.0%
Billy Gregory 100% 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.3 4.0 4.4 5.1 100.0%
Cole Kimmel 100% 32.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.2 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.8 100.0%
Blake Hipkiss 100% 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.9 100.0%
Nick Dombroski 100% 36.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 100.0%
Jack Taylor 100% 43.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Travis Hickner 2.3 2.2 42.0 22.0 11.1 7.4 5.8 5.1 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.1
Justin Amburgy 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.8 6.0 13.3 13.9 11.1 8.6 7.8 7.9 9.0 6.8 4.2 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Billy Gregory 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.4 3.4 7.6 10.4 10.5 8.8 9.1 8.6 9.1 9.3 8.0 5.9 3.7 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
Cole Kimmel 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.4 5.5 7.0 8.3 8.1 8.3 9.9 10.0 11.2 10.5 7.0 4.3 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.2
Blake Hipkiss 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.8 3.1 4.3 6.4 7.3 8.0 8.0 9.9 11.3 12.5 11.2 7.5 4.1 1.9 1.3 0.4
Nick Dombroski 18.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.3 3.3 5.5 5.4 6.0 7.6 9.8 12.5 16.5 13.0 7.9 4.5 1.7 1.2
Jack Taylor 21.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.1 2.9 5.2 8.5 16.5 18.2 14.5 12.2 8.1