Northridge
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #126
New Haven Semi-State Rank #37
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #11
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conf. Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
Date 8/18 8/25 9/8 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13
Team Rating 939 1,118 964 891 1,013 1,076 1,103
Team Adjusted Rating 1,071 952 891 909 867 896
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conf. Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
532  Jon Eichstadt 11 17:41 17:45 17:44 17:38
587  Jack Moore 9 17:46 18:24 18:04 17:39 17:33
1,183  Leonard Carranza 11 18:33 19:11 18:38 18:28 18:38 18:35 18:29 18:23
1,455  Bradley Petrofsky 12 18:52 19:38 18:57 18:58 18:38 18:48
1,503  Zmuda Isaac 11 18:56 19:02 18:53
1,521  Wyatt Simmons 11 18:57 20:28 18:39 18:52 18:32 19:22
1,549  Bryce McMann 10 18:59 19:12 18:40 18:36 18:56 19:45
Miller Andrew 10 19:03 19:18 18:54
Jared Schwartz 11 19:10 19:37 19:13 19:18 19:09 19:12 18:56
Nathan Perez 9 19:29 20:45 20:12 19:35 19:13 19:06
Bodie Hunt 11 19:35 19:43 19:33
Andrew Eichstadt 10 19:36 19:31 19:03 19:52 19:44
Michael Canfield 9 19:42 20:27 19:52 19:12 19:43
Zach Smaka 11 19:43 21:03 20:04 19:24 19:30 19:44
Mason Floria 9 19:48 22:52 19:21 19:46
Hunter Kolb 12 20:19 20:09 20:14 20:31
Christian Mast 10 21:03 21:43 21:26 21:25 18:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 7.2 203 0.4 76.0 23.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 6.5% 119.8 6.5% 6.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 100% 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.0 100.0% 100.0%
Leonard Carranza 72.5% 60.8 72.5% 72.5%
Bradley Petrofsky 12.2% 68.8 12.2% 12.2%
Wyatt Simmons 5.5% 69.7 5.5% 5.5%
Bryce McMann 3.6% 71.6 3.6% 3.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 21.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 2.4 3.3 4.3 6.0 8.2 9.9 9.9 9.1 8.4 8.4 7.0
Leonard Carranza 38.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bradley Petrofsky 46.1
Wyatt Simmons 47.7
Bryce McMann 48.5