Tell City
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #45
Brown County Semi-State Rank #6
Crawford County Regional Rank #2
Jasper Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 24th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating IN/KY Border Clash THSB State Preview BC Eagle Classic Lincoln Trail Invitational Pocket Athletic Conf. Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/21 9/1 9/8 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 516 441 441 603 588 489 593 612 499 537
Team Adjusted Rating 441 441 603 588 489 593 612 499 537
State RankRunnerSeason Rating IN/KY Border Clash THSB State Preview BC Eagle Classic Lincoln Trail Invitational Pocket Athletic Conf. Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
19  Nate Kaiser 12 15:59 15:59 15:31 16:03 16:25 15:48 16:22 16:16 16:06 15:52
175  Kaden Chestnut 10 16:55 16:27 16:18 17:00 17:02 17:12 16:54 17:23 16:51 16:50
517  Elliot Reed 12 17:40 17:27 17:27 18:21 17:31 17:24 17:43 17:51 17:27 18:05
570  Chase Beckort 12 17:44 17:32 17:35 17:43 17:56 17:17 18:00 17:50 17:43 17:48
708  Lewis Kaufman 9 17:58 17:47 18:07 18:17 18:23 18:09 18:19 18:12 18:16 17:50
855  Will Simpson 12 18:09 18:32 18:00 18:27 18:46 19:14 18:32 18:50 17:56 18:20
Alec Kaufman 9 19:01 18:45 18:28 18:37 19:20 19:02 19:07 18:50 19:33 19:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 23.2 555 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 4.1 14.1 32.8 47.4
Semi-State 100% 7.2 239 0.1 2.5 10.7 28.5 24.7 14.1 8.3 4.6 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.3 82 6.2 67.4 18.5 6.0 1.9
Sectionals 100% 1.0 40 95.7 4.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Kaiser 100% 20.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.7 3.9 3.7 3.8 4.4 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.5 3.6 3.4 2.9 2.7 99.7%
Kaden Chestnut 100% 121.3 4.4%
Elliot Reed 100% 189.9 0.0%
Chase Beckort 100% 192.8 0.0%
Lewis Kaufman 100% 200.1 0.0%
Will Simpson 100% 203.9 0.0%
Alec Kaufman 100% 207.5 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Kaiser 100% 5.3 1.6 5.6 9.6 14.2 14.6 15.8 12.5 9.3 6.3 4.5 2.4 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kaden Chestnut 100% 34.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 100.0%
Elliot Reed 100% 85.6 94.1%
Chase Beckort 100% 91.2 89.4%
Lewis Kaufman 100% 109.3 55.7%
Will Simpson 100% 125.0 23.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Kaiser 100% 1.7 6.3 64.0 27.6 1.7 0.3 100.0%
Kaden Chestnut 100% 8.7 0.0 2.7 4.6 8.7 11.5 12.2 13.8 11.5 11.3 10.1 5.7 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Elliot Reed 100% 22.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.3 4.5 5.4 7.4 8.7 10.8 10.7 10.2 8.5 100.0%
Chase Beckort 100% 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.9 3.6 4.7 6.7 7.8 9.9 10.8 10.2 100.0%
Lewis Kaufman 100% 29.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.1 3.4 4.9 100.0%
Will Simpson 100% 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Kaiser 1.0 70.7 27.5 1.6 0.1 0.0
Kaden Chestnut 5.3 0.1 4.0 9.0 21.1 56.0 8.3 1.5 0.0
Elliot Reed 8.9 0.0 3.8 13.1 37.3 24.8 11.2 5.3 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Chase Beckort 9.6 0.0 1.3 6.2 23.2 30.5 18.0 9.4 5.4 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lewis Kaufman 12.5 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.8 17.6 17.8 16.0 13.1 10.4 7.1 5.1 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1
Will Simpson 15.6 0.3 2.1 6.3 9.4 11.8 12.5 12.5 12.3 9.8 8.3 6.9 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0