Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #16
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #3
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 12th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 6.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 31.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Penn Invitational THSB State Preview Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/25 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 315 280 212 322 352 653 409 387 440 318 347
Team Adjusted Rating 280 212 310 297 315 357 387 349 318 347
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Penn Invitational THSB State Preview Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
42  Jack Acton 11 16:17 16:08 16:04 16:20 16:12 16:34 16:09 16:24 16:38
78  Nate Smith 12 16:30 16:11 16:12 16:28 16:30 16:41 16:36 16:32 16:28 16:40
156  Joe Angert 12 16:52 17:01 16:42 17:04 16:49 16:51 17:12 16:50 16:43 16:48
166  Will Miltenberger 10 16:53 16:44 16:14 17:36 17:36 16:59 16:46
254  Ty Puskar 11 17:06 17:12 16:46 16:59 16:59 17:19 17:05 17:03 17:09 17:19
367  Nick Clark 11 17:22 17:02 17:13 16:56 17:36 17:34 17:50 17:33 17:15
415  Tommy Cavanaugh 11 17:28 17:14 17:24 17:13 18:03 17:11 17:46 17:23 17:30 17:36
422  Joey Roytan 11 17:28 17:11 17:22 17:49
425  Bobby Woodburn 11 17:29 17:13 17:11 17:26 17:55 17:38
491  Jackson Lemmon 12 17:37 17:29 17:28 17:47 17:42 17:24 17:34 17:58
558  Ethan Vinyard 11 17:43 17:47 17:32 17:56 17:41 17:43 17:43
572  Carter Stephens 11 17:44 17:46 17:04 17:43 17:39 17:50 18:11
1,087  Nick Wagenblast 12 18:26 18:39 18:11 18:31
1,131  Charlie Moye 9 18:29 18:53 18:14 18:40 18:18
1,206  Quan Le 9 18:35 18:56 18:24 18:29
Jack Thursby 10 19:00 18:36 19:30 19:16 19:03 18:37
Tyler Villarreal 12 19:01 19:13 18:13 19:01 19:23
Keaton Olson 10 19:01 19:27 19:14 18:26 18:58
David Spoor 12 19:12 19:38 18:55
Carlson Farha 10 19:29 20:23 19:11 20:02 19:15 19:17
Jon Fry 11 19:40 19:53 19:16 19:41 19:29 20:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 13.1 338 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.5 3.6 4.1 5.6 5.5 6.1 6.4 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.8 6.8 5.7 5.8 4.4 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.2
Semi-State 100% 2.5 114 39.8 21.9 15.0 10.2 6.5 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.2 44 86.7 11.7 1.5 0.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 44 87.2 11.1 1.2 0.4 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Acton 100% 47.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.5 97.8%
Nate Smith 100% 74.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 82.7%
Joe Angert 100% 116.7 19.3%
Will Miltenberger 100% 119.4 16.4%
Ty Puskar 100% 143.4 2.1%
Nick Clark 100% 170.6 0.0%
Tommy Cavanaugh 100% 178.4 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Acton 100% 8.4 0.0 0.7 2.2 4.0 7.1 10.7 10.2 10.7 11.2 10.2 8.2 6.7 5.0 3.0 2.8 2.1 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nate Smith 100% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.5 2.8 3.8 5.3 6.1 6.5 8.3 8.1 7.8 7.4 6.3 6.4 5.1 4.2 3.7 2.7 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.2 100.0%
Joe Angert 100% 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.5 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.4 3.9 3.7 99.7%
Will Miltenberger 100% 30.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.0 2.6 3.2 3.1 3.5 3.2 3.7 99.6%
Ty Puskar 100% 45.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 94.1%
Nick Clark 100% 67.5 0.0 0.0 60.5%
Tommy Cavanaugh 100% 76.0 41.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Acton 100% 1.8 13.7 46.4 19.7 9.5 5.3 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Nate Smith 100% 4.2 0.9 5.8 20.8 19.3 14.8 12.3 9.2 5.9 4.4 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Joe Angert 100% 11.4 0.0 1.2 2.0 3.8 5.1 7.1 8.4 8.7 9.7 9.2 7.8 7.6 6.3 4.8 4.2 3.5 2.8 2.0 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.6 100.0%
Will Miltenberger 100% 12.0 0.0 0.6 1.8 3.2 4.5 5.8 7.9 7.9 9.4 9.0 8.7 7.7 6.8 6.2 5.4 3.7 3.0 2.2 1.5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.7 100.0%
Ty Puskar 100% 18.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 2.0 2.2 4.1 4.2 5.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 5.9 5.2 4.7 3.6 100.0%
Nick Clark 100% 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.7 3.8 4.9 5.6 6.3 100.0%
Tommy Cavanaugh 100% 30.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.6 1.4 1.9 1.8 3.3 3.7 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Acton 1.7 14.6 52.6 19.7 7.2 3.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Nate Smith 3.6 0.8 6.5 29.4 22.2 16.6 10.6 6.3 3.4 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Joe Angert 9.5 0.3 1.9 4.9 7.5 9.3 9.9 10.7 10.6 9.0 7.6 7.4 5.6 4.5 3.6 2.5 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Will Miltenberger 9.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.8 5.8 8.1 10.4 11.0 10.1 9.8 8.3 6.6 6.2 5.0 4.4 2.9 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1
Ty Puskar 15.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.9 4.2 6.0 6.8 7.8 8.1 8.6 8.9 8.0 7.3 7.4 5.6 4.3 3.4 2.8 1.8 1.1
Nick Clark 22.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 2.1 2.9 3.7 5.2 6.3 7.3 7.8 8.6 8.4 8.5 7.7
Tommy Cavanaugh 25.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.6 2.3 3.1 4.0 5.9 6.4 7.4 8.7 8.1