All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
County Challenge |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup |
Marion Invitational |
Delaware County |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conf. |
Delta Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
8/22 |
9/1 |
9/4 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
911 |
933 |
979 |
837 |
761 |
994 |
933 |
948 |
865 |
1,009 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
933 |
979 |
837 |
761 |
994 |
933 |
948 |
865 |
1,009 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
County Challenge |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup |
Marion Invitational |
Delaware County |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conf. |
Delta Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 72 |
Matthew Mitsch |
11 |
16:27 |
16:27 |
16:27 |
16:05 |
16:44 |
16:27 |
16:20 |
16:32 |
16:41 |
16:36 |
16:19 |
16:24 |
| 740 |
Caleb Bonsack |
12 |
18:01 |
17:44 |
17:47 |
17:38 |
17:22 |
18:09 |
18:11 |
18:14 |
17:57 |
18:08 |
|
|
| 799 |
Sean Weiss |
12 |
18:05 |
17:54 |
17:50 |
17:45 |
17:26 |
17:52 |
18:10 |
18:07 |
18:06 |
19:13 |
|
|
| 1,480 |
Sam Willey |
12 |
18:54 |
19:53 |
20:10 |
19:29 |
18:49 |
19:53 |
19:18 |
19:06 |
18:29 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
Ben Edwards |
9 |
19:53 |
20:14 |
20:18 |
|
19:12 |
20:19 |
20:06 |
19:51 |
19:36 |
19:35 |
|
|
|
Thomas Wilhoite |
11 |
19:59 |
19:37 |
19:58 |
19:21 |
|
20:16 |
19:35 |
20:06 |
20:06 |
20:08 |
|
|
|
Ben Suer |
11 |
20:09 |
20:29 |
|
20:13 |
20:29 |
20:01 |
19:42 |
19:50 |
20:24 |
20:27 |
|
|
|
Seth McKinley |
9 |
21:10 |
21:34 |
20:52 |
20:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Colby Hopkins |
11 |
21:40 |
21:05 |
20:53 |
21:11 |
|
22:23 |
21:44 |
21:48 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.7 |
152 |
|
|
|
44.1 |
43.6 |
9.9 |
2.0 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
76 |
40.1 |
35.7 |
18.3 |
5.6 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matthew Mitsch |
48.1% |
55.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
48.1% |
48.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matthew Mitsch |
100% |
20.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Caleb Bonsack |
8.4% |
137.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.4% |
8.4% |
| Sean Weiss |
4.1% |
139.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.1% |
4.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matthew Mitsch |
100% |
5.7 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
9.2 |
11.6 |
15.0 |
17.5 |
10.8 |
9.0 |
7.3 |
5.1 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Caleb Bonsack |
100% |
34.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sean Weiss |
100% |
35.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Willey |
100% |
55.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.5% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matthew Mitsch |
1.0 |
99.2 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Caleb Bonsack |
6.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
10.9 |
28.5 |
22.6 |
14.9 |
9.0 |
5.7 |
3.7 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sean Weiss |
7.3 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
4.3 |
16.5 |
24.1 |
19.0 |
12.5 |
8.6 |
6.0 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Willey |
20.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
4.5 |
7.3 |
8.4 |
10.8 |
11.8 |
10.8 |
9.8 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
4.8 |
|
