Bloomington North
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #21
Brown County Semi-State Rank #5
Bedford North Lawrence Regional Rank #2
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 22nd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 2.1%
Advance to State Finals 90.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Bloomington North Early Bird Scott Hiles Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Ted Fox Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Bedford North Lawr. Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/26 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 356 406 453 280 377 372 342 369 334 406 355 364 369
Team Adjusted Rating 316 361 280 377 372 342 369 334 406 355 364 369
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Bloomington North Early Bird Scott Hiles Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Ted Fox Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Bedford North Lawr. Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
14  Paul Rushton 12 15:55 15:59 15:49 16:01 15:59 16:03 16:00 16:04 16:12 15:53 15:49
162  Mason Childers 11 16:51 16:49 16:56 16:36 17:02 16:50 16:57 16:48 16:52 17:14 16:45 16:45 16:52
216  Nolan Bailey 10 16:59 16:58 17:03 16:50 17:08 17:08 17:03 17:17 17:00 17:04 16:45 16:53 16:56
276  Henry Streib 12 17:10 16:49 17:02 16:44 17:05 17:17 17:03 17:28 17:11 17:11 17:13 17:16 17:31
323  Eli Norrick 10 17:15 17:49 17:22 17:26 17:33 17:11 17:03 17:34 17:18 17:22 17:22 17:26 17:08
392  Nathaniel Dixon 12 17:22 17:07 17:37 16:57 17:25 17:21 17:05 18:16 16:54 18:06
439  Jake Talbert 12 17:28 17:20 17:32 17:33 17:21 17:36 17:11 16:51 17:36 17:47 17:46
487  Elliott Campbell 11 17:33 17:39 17:48 17:49 17:40 17:18 17:42 17:29 17:30 17:26 17:17 17:58 17:35
520  Nic Kaiser 9 17:36 17:43 17:18 17:39 17:46 17:24 17:39 17:33 17:49
548  John Rushton 10 17:38 17:44 17:55 17:35 17:41 17:40 17:41 17:36 17:32
562  Griffin Bruce 10 17:39 17:36 17:21 18:24 18:42 17:22 17:48 17:34 17:31
605  Jack Nelson 10 17:44 18:05 17:45 18:07 17:43 17:41 17:24 17:44
631  Liam Arthur 10 17:46 17:48 17:56 17:36 17:47 17:44 17:53 17:45
778  Cole Weida 12 18:00 17:37 17:45 18:04 18:18 17:57 17:58 18:02 18:07
937  Wade Wisler 9 18:12 18:14 17:59 18:21 18:09 18:06 18:19 18:31 18:09
971  Kyle Clark 9 18:15 18:28 17:58 18:37 18:12 18:09 18:26 18:38 17:55
986  Ethan Teske 10 18:16 18:48 18:13 18:14 17:53 18:14 19:11 18:09
1,604  Max Holden 9 18:59 18:57 18:59 18:49 18:49 18:57 18:59 19:38
Luke Justis 12 19:01 19:05 18:44 18:28 19:05 19:05 19:01 18:58 19:31
Louis Daley 10 19:06 19:43 18:56 19:16 19:37 18:18
Garrett Williams 12 19:20 19:26 19:04 18:52 19:31 19:28 19:09 19:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 90.5% 18.8 436 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.9 3.0 3.9 4.5 6.2 7.3 7.4 8.9 10.3 10.6 11.0 7.7 4.9
Semi-State 100% 4.8 158 0.3 1.6 16.2 23.6 26.8 22.2 7.9 1.4 0.2
Regionals 100% 2.1 72 3.0 85.8 10.5 0.8
Sectionals 100% 2.0 48 2.7 97.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paul Rushton 100% 14.7 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.4 2.8 2.9 3.7 4.4 5.0 4.6 4.7 4.3 5.1 4.7 3.9 4.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.6 2.7 1.9 100.0% 100.0%
Mason Childers 90.6% 118.8 0.5% 25.3%
Nolan Bailey 90.5% 137.4 0.0% 8.4%
Henry Streib 90.5% 160.1 0.0% 1.0%
Eli Norrick 90.5% 168.3 0.0% 0.5%
Nathaniel Dixon 90.5% 178.2 0.0% 0.1%
Jake Talbert 90.5% 184.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paul Rushton 100% 1.3 42.4 24.2 12.5 8.8 4.5 2.1 2.1 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Mason Childers 100% 33.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.5 3.6 2.3 100.0%
Nolan Bailey 100% 43.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.3 100.0%
Henry Streib 100% 57.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Eli Norrick 100% 63.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Nathaniel Dixon 100% 73.2 99.1%
Jake Talbert 100% 81.9 96.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paul Rushton 100% 1.0 65.5 20.4 8.3 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Mason Childers 100% 12.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 3.3 5.3 7.4 8.6 7.5 9.1 9.6 8.3 7.7 7.3 7.9 5.0 4.3 3.6 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nolan Bailey 100% 16.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.2 2.9 4.0 5.1 6.4 7.7 8.1 7.8 8.4 9.6 10.3 7.5 7.2 5.1 3.0 1.1 0.6 100.0%
Henry Streib 100% 20.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.7 2.6 3.9 4.2 6.2 7.4 9.9 12.3 12.5 10.7 8.0 6.4 100.0%
Eli Norrick 100% 22.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.7 2.6 4.5 6.9 9.8 12.3 13.5 10.8 10.4 100.0%
Nathaniel Dixon 100% 25.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 1.6 2.8 4.6 6.0 8.1 12.6 11.6 100.0%
Jake Talbert 100% 27.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.6 4.6 6.4 10.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paul Rushton 1.0 70.7 20.2 6.7 1.5 0.9 0.2
Mason Childers 8.0 0.4 2.4 4.0 11.2 17.2 14.6 12.4 12.3 11.9 8.4 4.2 1.1 0.2 0.1
Nolan Bailey 10.5 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 6.3 9.6 10.6 12.9 13.0 17.2 17.4 6.8 1.8 0.6 0.1
Henry Streib 13.3 0.2 0.6 1.2 3.0 4.5 5.9 11.0 15.8 28.2 18.0 8.0 2.8 0.9 0.4
Eli Norrick 14.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.0 3.1 5.2 9.4 19.3 28.0 17.7 8.3 3.5 1.0 0.4
Nathaniel Dixon 15.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.6 3.5 6.9 15.5 29.4 22.1 13.1 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.2
Jake Talbert 16.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 2.6 5.8 14.9 31.3 24.4 13.6 4.3 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.1