All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Jeremy Wright Invite |
Salem Invitational |
North Harrison Invitational |
Scottsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Crawford County Invitational |
Dragon Invitational |
Crawford County Sectional |
Crawford County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/5 |
9/10 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/24 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
| Team Rating |
718 |
717 |
755 |
675 |
684 |
762 |
688 |
699 |
721 |
747 |
793 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
717 |
699 |
675 |
684 |
762 |
688 |
699 |
721 |
747 |
793 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Jeremy Wright Invite |
Salem Invitational |
North Harrison Invitational |
Scottsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Crawford County Invitational |
Dragon Invitational |
Crawford County Sectional |
Crawford County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| 278 |
Sterling Mikel |
10 |
17:11 |
17:20 |
17:19 |
17:20 |
17:06 |
17:03 |
17:08 |
17:15 |
17:10 |
17:08 |
17:08 |
| 317 |
Gavin Just |
11 |
17:15 |
17:21 |
17:10 |
16:55 |
17:08 |
17:16 |
16:52 |
17:06 |
17:16 |
17:34 |
17:52 |
| 620 |
Lody Cheatham |
10 |
17:45 |
17:48 |
17:35 |
17:32 |
17:29 |
17:46 |
17:49 |
17:37 |
18:00 |
17:45 |
18:10 |
| 1,099 |
Nolan Flispart |
10 |
18:24 |
18:08 |
18:16 |
18:10 |
18:25 |
18:41 |
18:40 |
18:16 |
18:22 |
18:36 |
18:31 |
| 1,164 |
Blake Hoffman |
11 |
18:28 |
18:26 |
|
18:32 |
18:29 |
18:50 |
18:24 |
18:35 |
18:18 |
18:33 |
18:19 |
| 1,366 |
Hayden Smith |
11 |
18:42 |
|
19:11 |
18:33 |
18:58 |
19:03 |
18:25 |
18:48 |
|
18:23 |
18:52 |
| 1,574 |
Eric Wheatley |
12 |
18:57 |
19:57 |
19:52 |
20:12 |
19:29 |
|
19:13 |
18:59 |
18:54 |
18:55 |
18:43 |
|
Brennan Eurton |
11 |
19:25 |
19:21 |
19:58 |
19:20 |
|
19:27 |
19:07 |
|
19:28 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
92.2% |
14.4 |
389 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
2.7 |
6.0 |
8.9 |
14.5 |
16.8 |
14.7 |
13.4 |
7.9 |
5.0 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.2 |
142 |
|
|
17.3 |
57.4 |
17.6 |
5.7 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.0 |
92 |
|
14.8 |
68.6 |
15.7 |
1.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sterling Mikel |
0.8% |
128.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.8% |
0.8% |
| Gavin Just |
0.3% |
129.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
0.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sterling Mikel |
99.7% |
58.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
95.5% |
99.6% |
| Gavin Just |
99.7% |
63.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
95.5% |
99.2% |
| Lody Cheatham |
92.6% |
105.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.7% |
45.1% |
| Nolan Flispart |
92.2% |
149.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Blake Hoffman |
92.2% |
152.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Hayden Smith |
92.2% |
161.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Eric Wheatley |
92.2% |
168.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sterling Mikel |
100% |
16.7 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
7.9 |
7.8 |
8.7 |
9.0 |
8.9 |
7.7 |
7.4 |
5.2 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Gavin Just |
100% |
18.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
6.4 |
7.7 |
8.3 |
9.5 |
10.3 |
9.3 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Lody Cheatham |
100% |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Nolan Flispart |
100% |
46.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Blake Hoffman |
100% |
48.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Hayden Smith |
100% |
55.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Eric Wheatley |
100% |
61.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sterling Mikel |
9.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.7 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
9.9 |
11.2 |
13.9 |
12.2 |
10.8 |
7.3 |
4.5 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gavin Just |
10.4 |
|
0.2 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
3.5 |
5.1 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
8.9 |
11.4 |
15.2 |
13.9 |
11.4 |
7.6 |
4.6 |
2.5 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lody Cheatham |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
6.2 |
10.3 |
12.8 |
22.3 |
21.1 |
9.5 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
| Nolan Flispart |
26.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
5.5 |
9.1 |
9.6 |
| Blake Hoffman |
27.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
5.6 |
7.1 |
| Hayden Smith |
31.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
| Eric Wheatley |
34.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
