Brownsburg
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #8
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #4
Ben Davis Regional Rank #1
South Putnam Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 2.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 35.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 77.4%
Advance to State Finals 96.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Brownsburg Invitational First to the Finish RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 230 255 283 201 927 193 215 267 266 245 235
Team Adjusted Rating 255 283 201 230 193 215 267 266 245 235
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Brownsburg Invitational First to the Finish RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
19  Alex Freeman 12 16:02 15:40 16:02 16:04 15:40 16:12 16:11 16:09 16:02 16:16
50  Trevor Nolan 11 16:21 16:27 16:40 16:18 16:12 16:08 16:43 16:25 16:20 16:15
60  Jacob Kodrick 11 16:24 16:31 16:29 16:03 16:23 16:22 16:24 16:31 16:36 16:24
115  Panin Skiles 12 16:40 16:44 16:52 16:35 16:32 16:33 16:38 16:54 16:40 16:46
148  Kole Kelley 11 16:49 17:08 17:06 16:51 16:43 16:49 16:59 16:56 16:54 16:42
534  Brett Heckman 12 17:37 17:43 17:46 17:52 17:32 17:46 17:41 17:23 17:30 17:41
546  Aiden Rademacher 11 17:38 17:51 17:53 17:37 17:19 17:47 17:34 17:39 17:30 17:51
812  Mael Brouwer 12 18:03 18:37 18:11 18:08 17:53 17:45 18:06
925  Josh Hamilton 12 18:12 18:55 18:22 18:10 17:45 18:14
1,088  Patrick Voglewede 10 18:24 18:20 18:28 18:18 18:32 18:23
1,214  Caedmon Oliger 10 18:32 18:43 18:45 18:32 18:35 18:15
1,291  Zachary Lien 9 18:37 18:42 18:44 18:47 18:30 18:33
1,403  Andrew Moodie 12 18:45 18:24 18:27 19:24 18:54 18:35 19:02
1,615  Caeden Ramsey 9 19:00 19:33 18:59 19:01 19:09 18:38
Caedmon Barksdale 10 19:04 19:21 19:11 18:58 19:21 18:45
Elijah Grant 9 19:04 19:11 18:36 18:54 19:02 19:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 96.0% 7.2 241 2.2 5.7 7.6 9.7 10.1 9.1 10.4 8.9 7.8 6.2 6.5 3.6 2.9 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 3.7 130 7.5 17.3 25.2 20.2 16.9 9.1 2.9 0.7 0.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.2 49 77.3 22.0 0.8
Sectionals 100% 1.0 28 98.1 1.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Freeman 99.4% 21.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.2 2.2 2.9 2.5 3.9 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 4.7 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.4 85.0% 98.0%
Trevor Nolan 96.3% 52.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 6.3% 61.1%
Jacob Kodrick 96.1% 61.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 2.5% 48.3%
Panin Skiles 96.0% 96.7 0.1 0.1 0.0% 8.4%
Kole Kelley 96.0% 118.0 0.0% 1.8%
Brett Heckman 96.0% 192.5 0.0% 0.0%
Aiden Rademacher 96.0% 193.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Freeman 100% 9.2 1.1 2.7 3.5 4.6 5.5 7.3 6.9 8.6 8.1 8.1 6.7 6.7 5.2 5.0 4.1 2.6 2.5 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.6 100.0%
Trevor Nolan 100% 22.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.6 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.3 4.8 4.9 3.3 3.7 4.4 3.2 3.7 100.0%
Jacob Kodrick 100% 25.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.3 1.9 2.5 3.3 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.5 4.8 4.3 3.4 3.5 3.9 100.0%
Panin Skiles 100% 42.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 100.0%
Kole Kelley 100% 53.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 99.9%
Brett Heckman 100% 127.4 15.2%
Aiden Rademacher 100% 128.4 14.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Freeman 100% 3.5 4.7 14.1 21.0 22.6 17.3 10.7 5.6 2.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Trevor Nolan 100% 7.7 0.2 1.1 3.9 7.7 12.7 13.6 15.2 15.1 11.7 9.4 5.5 2.1 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jacob Kodrick 100% 8.8 0.1 0.5 1.2 4.2 6.9 9.6 13.4 17.0 15.5 13.7 9.3 5.2 2.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Panin Skiles 100% 12.9 0.3 0.5 1.6 3.2 5.1 9.7 13.5 17.4 14.9 10.0 8.0 5.5 3.7 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Kole Kelley 100% 15.8 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.9 3.7 9.3 11.2 13.8 11.6 9.9 9.1 7.7 4.4 4.3 2.6 2.6 2.1 1.5 100.0%
Brett Heckman 100% 42.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Aiden Rademacher 100% 43.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Freeman 1.7 17.6 48.6 25.9 6.9 1.0 0.1
Trevor Nolan 4.1 0.3 2.1 15.4 28.1 31.7 19.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
Jacob Kodrick 4.7 0.9 7.1 20.8 32.1 32.3 5.8 0.9 0.2 0.1
Panin Skiles 6.7 0.1 0.1 2.8 12.5 48.0 21.7 8.1 3.2 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Kole Kelley 7.9 0.2 1.7 13.3 37.0 18.8 11.4 7.3 4.4 2.6 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Brett Heckman 22.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.9 2.7 3.9 5.3 6.1 8.6 9.0 8.8 10.5 8.7 9.6
Aiden Rademacher 22.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.6 3.5 4.3 5.9 7.0 8.4 9.9 9.7 10.1 9.6