Columbia City
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #25
New Haven Semi-State Rank #6
West Noble Regional Rank #4
Northrop Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.6%
Advance to State Finals 39.2%
Advance to Semi-State 95.9%
Advance to Regional 99.9%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Tiger Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 8/27 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 384 391 406 400 426 378 400 439 330 392 451 363 433
Team Adjusted Rating 391 406 400 426 378 400 439 330 392 426 363 433
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Tiger Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
34  Landon Wakeman 12 16:12 16:02 16:22 16:15 16:07 16:01 16:07 17:06 16:11 16:10 16:17 16:05 16:22
96  Nathan Mills 12 16:36 16:19 16:26 16:24 17:17 16:38 16:26 16:39 16:23 16:34 16:45 16:35 17:00
116  Nick Mills 12 16:42 16:51 17:05 17:05 16:42 16:48 16:31 16:52 16:32 16:41 16:36 16:41 16:46
261  Austin Hall 10 17:07 16:47 16:57 16:55 16:59 17:05 17:40 17:09 17:10 17:06 17:32 17:05 17:08
713  Seth Mills 10 17:54 18:46 18:23 18:04 18:01 17:52 17:53 17:40 17:27 18:03 17:46 18:00
1,059  Jack Mills 10 18:22 18:49 18:36 18:37 18:34 18:21 18:14 18:59 18:17 18:14 18:12 18:21 18:16
1,196  Zachary Pletcher 9 18:31 18:56 18:26 18:16 18:24 18:12 18:50 18:39 18:31 18:36
1,319  Bryce Taylor 12 18:40 18:29 18:02 18:13 19:13 19:02 18:32 18:33 18:41 18:45 18:48 18:40 18:50
1,462  Wes Story 12 18:50 19:04 18:41 19:02 18:39 21:40 18:56 18:44 18:26
1,588  Ian Harrold 10 18:58 19:25 19:05 18:52 18:47 18:39 18:43 19:48
Colyn Iden 12 19:07 18:57 18:54 18:57 18:59 19:10 19:12 19:17 19:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 39.2% 16.2 388 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 2.0 2.5 4.0 4.6 5.4 5.2 4.3 3.4 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
Semi-State 95.9% 7.1 216 0.1 0.4 5.8 14.3 18.6 17.9 15.5 13.3 6.6 2.9 0.7 0.1
Regionals 99.9% 4.0 113 0.9 31.1 44.6 19.4 3.2 0.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.2 93 0.7 82.2 15.0 2.2 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Landon Wakeman 93.8% 35.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.4 2.0 2.2 2.3 1.8 89.7% 93.7%
Nathan Mills 44.4% 72.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 8.6% 24.8%
Nick Mills 40.3% 86.8 0.1 1.9% 10.0%
Austin Hall 39.2% 146.0 0.0% 0.0%
Seth Mills 39.2% 197.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Mills 39.2% 205.5 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Pletcher 39.2% 206.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Landon Wakeman 100% 10.9 0.2 0.7 2.6 3.9 4.7 5.7 6.1 7.1 6.8 7.0 6.4 5.8 4.8 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.5 3.6 2.9 2.5 2.4 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.6 100.0% 100.0%
Nathan Mills 99.8% 30.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.2 93.9% 99.6%
Nick Mills 99.4% 37.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.9 1.8 84.1% 99.0%
Austin Hall 96.0% 65.5 2.4% 54.6%
Seth Mills 95.9% 133.8 0.0% 0.1%
Jack Mills 95.9% 159.5 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Pletcher 95.9% 164.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Landon Wakeman 100% 6.6 0.6 3.2 9.1 8.3 11.9 10.7 10.1 9.3 10.8 8.2 6.4 3.9 2.8 2.2 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Nathan Mills 100% 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.6 3.7 4.9 6.5 6.9 9.1 10.7 10.9 9.2 9.2 7.1 4.4 3.6 2.5 1.4 1.0 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Nick Mills 100% 17.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.4 2.5 4.1 4.9 6.4 8.7 9.5 11.2 9.8 9.6 7.0 5.8 4.0 3.5 1.8 100.0% 100.0%
Austin Hall 100.0% 30.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 2.0 3.3 4.0 4.7 4.5 50.0% 99.8%
Seth Mills 99.9% 60.0 0.0% 20.6%
Jack Mills 99.9% 71.5 0.0% 0.1%
Zachary Pletcher 99.9% 75.4 0.0% 0.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Landon Wakeman 5.0 1.4 10.7 11.2 13.7 13.5 13.7 11.7 10.6 6.9 2.9 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.1
Nathan Mills 11.0 0.2 0.4 1.5 2.4 3.0 5.6 9.2 13.5 14.7 17.2 16.3 8.8 3.9 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Nick Mills 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 3.9 7.4 11.2 14.5 17.0 20.4 9.9 5.4 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1
Austin Hall 19.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.3 7.4 7.9 10.1 7.8 7.9 6.8 7.0 6.4 5.2 5.6 4.7
Seth Mills 41.9 0.1
Jack Mills 54.0
Zachary Pletcher 57.0