Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #31
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #12
Noblesville Regional Rank #7
Noblesville Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 4.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Circle City Conference Hamilton County THSB State Preview Guerin Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/24 9/3 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 407 404 383 880 538 527 458 564 433
Team Adjusted Rating 380 335 684 420 428 403 417 378
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Circle City Conference Hamilton County THSB State Preview Guerin Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
136  Austin Callahan 11 16:47 16:43 16:35 18:14 16:47 16:56 16:55 16:48 16:37 16:40
170  Thomas King 11 16:53 18:14 16:51 16:45 16:47
191  Holden King 11 16:55 16:57 16:41 16:57 17:04
253  Aaron Banks 12 17:06 17:07
394  Matthew Fletcher 12 17:23 17:04 16:49 18:14 17:31 17:31 17:15 17:30 17:20
396  Nicholas Schramm 11 17:23 17:12 17:02 18:15 17:39 17:23 17:19 17:29 17:14
567  Dominic Stein 11 17:40 17:48 17:30 19:02 17:50 17:48 17:24 17:40 17:24
680  Gavin Morrow 11 17:51 18:00 17:40 19:02 18:36 17:44 17:38 17:36 17:48
770  Ethan Hines 9 17:59 18:37 18:50 18:07 18:09 17:51 17:44 17:47 17:52
819  Evan McNeany 10 18:03 18:04 17:49 19:03 18:04 18:10 17:52 17:57
1,490  Christian Geary 10 18:52 18:55 18:34 19:24 18:49 19:03 18:42
Noah McNeany 12 19:08 19:15 18:50 19:09 19:04 19:27
Tyler Backlund 11 19:17 19:19 19:16 19:09 19:41 19:19 19:11
Tristan Henry 9 19:21 18:45 20:27 19:27 20:57 19:07 18:41
Jack Weber 9 19:37 19:17 20:50 20:15 19:21 20:04 18:28




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0% 23.0 492 0.1
Semi-State 4.0% 9.8 260 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 7.2 190 0.6 3.4 13.5 46.8 29.1 6.7
Sectionals 100% 3.9 111 6.7 93.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 2.2% 81.0 2.2% 2.2%
Thomas King 0.9% 86.5 0.9% 0.9%
Matthew Fletcher 0.0% 147.5 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Schramm 0.0% 163.5 0.0% 0.0%
Dominic Stein 0.0% 178.5 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Morrow 0.0% 184.5 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Hines 0.0% 196.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 87.8% 50.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 87.3% 87.8%
Thomas King 72.8% 54.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 71.7% 72.8%
Matthew Fletcher 4.7% 77.8 0.7% 1.4%
Nicholas Schramm 4.3% 79.5 0.4% 1.2%
Dominic Stein 4.0% 107.0 0.1% 0.1%
Gavin Morrow 4.0% 123.4 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Hines 4.0% 136.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 100% 24.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.8 1.6 1.5 2.9 3.5 3.5 4.7 4.7 5.4 5.7 5.3 6.9 100.0%
Thomas King 100% 27.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.1 2.1 2.1 3.0 3.5 4.1 4.4 5.3 5.8 100.0%
Matthew Fletcher 100% 49.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nicholas Schramm 100% 49.6 0.1 100.0%
Dominic Stein 100% 61.2 100.0%
Gavin Morrow 100% 68.4 100.0%
Ethan Hines 100% 72.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 13.2 0.5 1.3 2.5 2.1 2.7 4.1 6.7 12.3 14.3 15.1 11.6 7.6 5.2 4.0 3.5 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.5
Thomas King 14.9 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.9 3.7 6.6 10.4 12.3 13.0 12.1 8.7 6.8 5.6 4.7 2.8 2.8 1.6 1.5 1.2
Matthew Fletcher 26.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.5 3.4 3.4 4.5 5.3 7.4 7.0
Nicholas Schramm 26.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.3 2.8 3.8 5.3 5.5 6.7 8.9
Dominic Stein 29.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.8 1.4
Gavin Morrow 32.2 0.2 0.3
Ethan Hines 33.9