Homestead
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #7
New Haven Semi-State Rank #3
West Noble Regional Rank #2
Northrop Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 1.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 32.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 76.8%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Tiger Invitational Penn Invitational THSB State Preview Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 8/27 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 226 253 723 252 186 644 190 196 240 303 240 228
Team Adjusted Rating 253 226 252 186 226 190 196 240 303 240 228
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Tiger Invitational Penn Invitational THSB State Preview Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
22  Jarred Neff 12 16:08 16:02 16:10 15:48 16:11 16:17 16:17 16:07 16:07 16:09
29  Keagan Stuckey 12 16:10 16:29 16:13 16:02 16:10 16:00 16:11 16:21 16:08 16:14
52  Donny McArdle 11 16:21 16:22 16:24 16:24 16:00 16:16 16:24 16:28 16:23 16:28
104  Ethan Baitz 10 16:38 16:56 16:42 16:29 16:28 16:20 16:31 17:44 16:44 16:33
207  Carter Cook 12 16:58 16:51 17:08 16:45 16:50 16:48 17:03 17:25 17:04 16:53
346  Logan Weaver 12 17:18 17:10 17:38 17:29 17:24 17:27 17:20 17:10 17:01 17:35 17:16
460  Derek Hockemeyer 12 17:31 18:25 17:48 17:15 17:36 17:38 17:18 17:20
480  Aidan Sheppard 11 17:33 17:37 17:31 17:47 17:28 17:25 17:15 17:16 17:27 18:18 17:44 17:38
537  Dominic Gery 12 17:37 17:29 17:50
651  Chase Molden 10 17:48 18:04 18:03 17:46 17:45 17:46 17:41
668  Tyler Neff 9 17:50 18:04 18:02 17:48 17:50 17:56 17:46 17:39
731  Jude Minich 10 17:55 18:32 17:56 17:50 18:06 17:57 17:46 17:47
834  Tyler Peters 11 18:05 18:09 18:07 17:55 18:08 18:25 17:55
1,015  Henry Myers 11 18:18 18:57 19:15 18:22 18:29 17:59 18:19 17:45
1,247  Anthony Gery 9 18:35 18:51 18:38 18:46 19:34 18:26 18:24 18:18
1,276  Ben Johnson 10 18:37 18:46 18:09 18:29 18:25 18:34 18:55 19:02
1,415  Ashton Hackman 11 18:47 19:17 18:56 18:53 18:45 18:39 18:32 18:51
1,435  Grayson Welch 9 18:48 18:36 18:45 18:44 18:44 18:48 18:49 19:15
1,443  John Sheets 11 18:49 18:43 18:49 18:43 18:44 18:56 19:03
1,459  Spencer Hoff 12 18:50 18:44 18:18 19:21 18:25 18:28 19:19 19:27
1,504  Justin Englehart 11 18:53 18:59 18:58 18:53 18:47 18:58 18:56
Jackson Todor 10 19:03 19:21 19:06 19:16 19:13 18:55 18:45 19:09
Carson Heckman 9 19:05 19:03 18:52 19:09 19:24
Sam Ratkos 9 19:06 20:59 18:58 19:10 18:50
Isaac Hunter 12 19:14 19:37 19:39 19:26 19:00 19:06 19:01 19:22
Austin Richards 12 19:25 18:52 18:56 19:30 19:24 19:27 19:50 19:40
Max Falloon 10 19:37 18:55 19:05 20:05 19:19 20:08 20:00
Matthew Schuler 11 19:46 19:16 23:20 18:51 19:08 19:10 21:06 24:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 7.6 247 1.8 4.1 7.4 9.3 10.1 10.8 10.2 9.7 7.3 6.4 6.3 4.5 4.7 2.9 2.2 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.7 104 6.5 36.7 45.2 8.8 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.0 59 8.4 86.9 4.2 0.6
Sectionals 100% 1.9 47 8.2 91.2 0.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jarred Neff 100.0% 29.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.8 2.5 2.0 2.6 2.6 3.3 2.9 2.3 2.2 4.0 2.4 50.0% 96.0%
Keagan Stuckey 99.9% 34.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.3 0.6 2.1 1.9 2.4 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.9 2.3 2.3 3.0 0.0% 92.5%
Donny McArdle 99.9% 55.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.0% 71.6%
Ethan Baitz 99.9% 92.5 0.0% 19.4%
Carter Cook 99.9% 139.4 0.0% 0.5%
Logan Weaver 99.9% 175.2 0.0% 0.0%
Derek Hockemeyer 99.9% 188.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jarred Neff 100% 8.6 0.5 1.6 4.1 7.7 7.7 9.0 8.3 7.8 5.7 6.7 5.5 5.2 4.5 4.1 3.9 3.4 2.7 2.1 2.2 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 100.0%
Keagan Stuckey 100% 10.3 0.2 0.8 2.6 5.0 6.4 7.2 6.1 6.7 6.3 6.9 5.9 5.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.1 3.3 2.6 3.2 2.3 1.8 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 100.0%
Donny McArdle 100% 17.8 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.7 3.6 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.9 5.2 4.8 5.1 4.9 4.0 4.9 4.2 4.9 3.0 3.1 2.8 100.0%
Ethan Baitz 100% 33.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.6 1.7 2.5 2.3 3.0 99.6%
Carter Cook 100% 54.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 83.2%
Logan Weaver 100% 84.0 23.9%
Derek Hockemeyer 100% 103.8 3.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jarred Neff 100% 5.1 1.4 6.7 13.0 14.3 13.6 12.6 11.6 9.4 6.6 4.9 2.0 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Keagan Stuckey 100% 6.0 0.4 3.5 8.2 10.6 13.3 13.7 10.9 10.5 8.9 6.6 4.7 3.6 2.2 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Donny McArdle 100% 10.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.8 4.2 5.5 8.5 8.8 9.9 10.6 11.1 9.7 7.4 5.9 5.5 3.5 3.2 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ethan Baitz 100% 16.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.7 3.0 3.6 6.0 7.9 7.3 9.4 8.9 10.3 9.2 9.1 6.0 5.0 3.2 2.7 1.7 1.1 100.0%
Carter Cook 100% 24.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.6 2.7 3.9 4.4 4.8 6.8 6.5 7.8 7.6 6.2 100.0%
Logan Weaver 100% 39.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.6 97.2%
Derek Hockemeyer 100% 48.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 83.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jarred Neff 3.8 2.5 16.0 15.5 19.2 16.3 11.7 9.5 5.3 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1
Keagan Stuckey 4.7 1.5 8.9 13.0 15.8 16.6 15.3 13.4 7.5 4.3 2.3 1.1 0.6
Donny McArdle 7.4 0.7 1.6 4.3 7.7 13.8 15.3 17.7 14.6 10.5 7.7 3.7 1.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
Ethan Baitz 11.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.0 5.0 8.4 12.6 13.8 16.7 15.2 15.3 4.9 2.6 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1
Carter Cook 15.9 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.0 6.0 9.0 16.9 14.7 10.5 7.2 6.2 5.9 4.3 3.7 2.9 2.1 1.9
Logan Weaver 25.6 0.1 0.1 1.1 2.2 3.1 4.1 3.3 4.1 4.6 5.7 5.8 6.3 6.0
Derek Hockemeyer 31.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.5 1.1 1.8 2.1 2.5