All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Jack Bransford Classic |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
479 |
373 |
396 |
351 |
472 |
528 |
|
571 |
589 |
700 |
491 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
373 |
396 |
351 |
472 |
528 |
|
571 |
589 |
700 |
491 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Jack Bransford Classic |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 114 |
Cole Raymond |
10 |
16:40 |
16:25 |
16:21 |
16:18 |
17:03 |
16:32 |
|
17:26 |
16:48 |
16:35 |
16:28 |
16:53 |
| 150 |
Connor Havens |
12 |
16:50 |
16:22 |
16:37 |
16:14 |
16:42 |
16:24 |
|
16:39 |
18:06 |
17:50 |
17:04 |
|
| 272 |
Sam Bell |
11 |
17:10 |
16:44 |
16:58 |
16:48 |
17:07 |
18:36 |
|
17:00 |
16:53 |
18:04 |
17:19 |
|
| 490 |
Winston Griffin |
12 |
17:34 |
17:16 |
17:22 |
17:08 |
17:31 |
17:16 |
|
18:07 |
17:51 |
18:04 |
17:23 |
|
| 603 |
John Groth |
10 |
17:44 |
17:36 |
17:29 |
17:34 |
17:31 |
17:37 |
|
17:55 |
17:44 |
18:08 |
17:51 |
|
| 1,018 |
Jeremy Groth |
10 |
18:19 |
18:07 |
18:22 |
18:19 |
18:21 |
19:06 |
|
18:12 |
18:13 |
18:21 |
18:19 |
|
|
Teddy Merkel |
10 |
19:01 |
19:08 |
19:08 |
18:51 |
18:43 |
19:03 |
19:14 |
|
|
19:06 |
|
|
|
Jay Pillai |
9 |
19:02 |
19:07 |
19:19 |
19:01 |
19:23 |
19:20 |
19:01 |
18:49 |
18:50 |
|
19:01 |
|
|
Remi Cernel |
11 |
19:18 |
19:07 |
19:33 |
18:59 |
20:25 |
19:31 |
19:01 |
19:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mason Tulacz |
10 |
19:21 |
19:38 |
19:33 |
19:39 |
18:57 |
19:35 |
19:12 |
19:16 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
23.7% |
22.5 |
514 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
4.1 |
5.9 |
8.9 |
| Semi-State |
100.0% |
7.9 |
226 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
6.3 |
16.1 |
20.0 |
20.1 |
17.1 |
13.6 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.5 |
95 |
0.1 |
4.5 |
42.4 |
51.8 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.5 |
95 |
0.2 |
4.2 |
42.8 |
52.1 |
0.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cole Raymond |
84.7% |
92.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
79.9% |
84.6% |
| Connor Havens |
56.4% |
109.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.8% |
53.7% |
| Sam Bell |
24.2% |
145.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7% |
4.8% |
| Winston Griffin |
23.7% |
181.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| John Groth |
23.7% |
189.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Jeremy Groth |
23.7% |
204.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Teddy Merkel |
23.7% |
207.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cole Raymond |
100% |
15.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Connor Havens |
100% |
25.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sam Bell |
100% |
53.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
100.0% |
97.7% |
| Winston Griffin |
100.0% |
86.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
52.2% |
| John Groth |
100.0% |
100.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
23.2% |
| Jeremy Groth |
100.0% |
142.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cole Raymond |
100% |
5.1 |
2.2 |
8.6 |
13.7 |
13.0 |
11.7 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Connor Havens |
100% |
10.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.7 |
5.2 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
6.3 |
7.3 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
4.8 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Bell |
100% |
21.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
7.1 |
7.0 |
7.8 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Winston Griffin |
100% |
32.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
|
99.8% |
| John Groth |
100% |
37.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
98.5% |
| Jeremy Groth |
100% |
49.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34.2% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cole Raymond |
4.9 |
2.2 |
8.2 |
14.5 |
13.5 |
12.6 |
10.1 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
5.7 |
5.1 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Connor Havens |
9.1 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
3.6 |
5.9 |
8.7 |
7.5 |
7.8 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
8.0 |
7.4 |
5.4 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Sam Bell |
19.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
8.1 |
10.1 |
10.4 |
8.5 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
4.3 |
| Winston Griffin |
27.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
5.1 |
8.0 |
| John Groth |
30.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
| Jeremy Groth |
39.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
