Northridge
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #57
New Haven Semi-State Rank #18
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 14th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 77.1%
Advance to Regional 99.1%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 8/31 9/14 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 599 669 677 654 604 591 610 583 619
Team Adjusted Rating 635 629 654 567 578 610 577 604
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
85  Jack Moore 10 16:32 16:38 17:26 16:31 16:14 16:31 16:39 16:48 16:21 16:28
180  Jaxon Miller 9 16:54 17:00 17:02 16:56 16:50 16:41 16:58 16:51 17:09
739  Michael Canfield 10 17:56 18:27 18:30 17:51 17:46 17:56 17:40 18:01
796  Nathan Perez 10 18:01 18:49 17:58 18:05 18:03 17:51 17:54
821  Tanner Sallee 12 18:03 18:55 17:50 17:57
992  Noah Zmuda 9 18:17 18:11 18:31 18:13 18:13 18:24 18:21 18:14
1,116  Bryce McMann 11 18:25 20:23 19:21 18:44 18:15 18:01 18:40 18:18
1,134  Jon Spicher 9 18:26 19:23 18:59 18:48 18:18 18:24 18:08 18:14
1,163  Jon Eichstadt 12 18:28 18:04 17:41 18:44 18:49
1,392  Jared Schwartz 12 18:44 18:56 18:33 18:46 18:31 19:02
1,480  Wyatt Simmons 12 18:52 19:07 18:40 19:11 19:04 18:30
1,543  Andrew Eichstadt 11 18:55 19:22 18:44 18:35 19:44 18:44
Andrew Miller 11 19:08 18:47 18:49 20:12 19:07
Austin Abelseth 9 19:25 19:44 19:24 19:48 18:59
Kaleb Ellis 9 19:33 19:09 19:57
Sam Eichstadt 9 20:15 22:16 18:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 77.1% 14.4 371 0.1 0.2 1.3 5.0 14.4 20.6 18.1 11.5 5.1 1.1 0.1
Regionals 99.1% 4.5 133 0.1 29.6 28.6 18.9 11.8 5.6 3.1 1.2 0.4
Sectionals 100% 3.1 91 0.2 28.9 40.8 21.0 8.3 0.8 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 41.8% 64.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 41.8% 41.8%
Jaxon Miller 1.3% 86.0 1.3% 1.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 100% 26.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.6 2.0 1.9 2.0 3.3 2.3 3.7 2.8 3.3 3.5 4.6 3.7 4.0 100.0% 100.0%
Jaxon Miller 100.0% 49.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 99.8% 100.0%
Michael Canfield 77.1% 132.5 0.0% 2.4%
Nathan Perez 77.1% 138.6 0.0% 0.7%
Noah Zmuda 77.1% 152.8 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce McMann 77.1% 159.3 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Spicher 77.1% 160.4 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 100% 3.3 12.8 14.9 17.5 15.9 12.7 12.3 7.2 4.0 2.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jaxon Miller 100% 8.7 0.2 1.0 2.0 3.9 7.5 11.4 13.7 15.0 13.6 10.4 7.1 4.4 2.8 2.5 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Michael Canfield 99.8% 40.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 77.8% 99.2%
Nathan Perez 99.6% 43.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 50.0% 96.9%
Noah Zmuda 99.2% 58.1 5.6% 73.1%
Bryce McMann 99.2% 67.4 5.6% 50.8%
Jon Spicher 99.2% 68.1 5.6% 45.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 2.4 17.5 19.7 32.9 24.0 5.1 0.9 0.1
Jaxon Miller 5.1 0.2 0.7 2.5 11.7 32.0 27.2 17.8 4.1 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Michael Canfield 23.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.0 3.2 4.7 4.3 5.1 7.2 7.4 7.7 8.7 9.6
Nathan Perez 25.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.9 2.8 3.0 4.2 5.1 6.0 8.0 8.7
Noah Zmuda 32.8 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.6
Bryce McMann 38.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5
Jon Spicher 39.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4