Penn
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #32
New Haven Semi-State Rank #9
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Riley Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.5%
Advance to State Finals 30.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Penn Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 407 378 361 336 440 411 414 400 413 434 436
Team Adjusted Rating 378 361 336 440 411 414 400 413 434 436
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Penn Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
93  Mariano Retzloff 10 16:34 16:48 16:30 16:24 16:48 16:52 16:30 16:39 16:26 16:28 16:43
142  Carter Kaser 10 16:48 16:51 16:43 16:27 16:50 16:56 16:43 16:40 16:47 17:17 16:54
258  Ben Boardley 11 17:07 16:57 16:56 16:54 17:22 17:07 17:06 17:07 17:12 17:02 17:24
297  Joshua Temeles 12 17:13 17:13 17:06 17:09 17:11 16:52 18:46 17:09 17:21 17:16 17:06
358  Jason Juarez 9 17:19 17:35 17:08 17:04 17:19 17:22 17:14 17:22 17:19 17:18 17:33
464  Dillon Pottschmidt 11 17:31 16:52 18:25 18:06 17:19
469  Josiah Railton 12 17:32 17:55 18:01 17:40 17:43 17:25 17:34 17:18 17:18 17:23 17:43
515  Cohl Fox 12 17:36 17:34 17:18 17:34 17:45 19:02 17:31 17:40 17:31 17:27
540  Joey Rutten 10 17:38 17:47 17:28 17:17 17:32 17:26 18:44 17:42
659  Killian Heninger 12 17:48 18:06 17:59 17:52 17:34 17:34 17:56
782  Taylor Cussen 11 18:00 18:08 18:09 18:01 18:01 17:41 17:47 18:22
1,179  Nicholas Probst 9 18:29 18:43 18:51 18:40 18:44 18:12 18:11 18:27
1,330  Jaitin Soni 12 18:41 19:08 19:10 19:43 18:03 18:15 18:33
1,394  Declan O'Donnell 9 18:45 18:42 19:12 18:26 19:04 18:38 18:32 18:53
1,552  Caleb Evans 11 18:56 18:57 18:58 18:44 18:44 19:01 18:52 19:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 30.6% 18.9 437 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.8 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.9 4.5 4.0 2.7 2.6 1.2
Semi-State 100% 7.8 228 0.1 0.8 4.9 11.5 13.4 16.0 14.9 12.4 13.3 7.9 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.4 56 57.1 42.5 0.4
Sectionals 100% 1.0 28 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mariano Retzloff 43.6% 67.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 18.8% 33.1%
Carter Kaser 30.8% 95.8 0.3% 3.5%
Ben Boardley 30.6% 138.0 0.0% 0.1%
Joshua Temeles 30.6% 151.4 0.0% 0.0%
Jason Juarez 30.6% 163.9 0.0% 0.0%
Dillon Pottschmidt 30.6% 179.8 0.0% 0.0%
Josiah Railton 30.6% 181.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mariano Retzloff 100% 28.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.5 2.7 1.9 2.5 3.2 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.0 3.3 100.0%
Carter Kaser 100% 42.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 99.9%
Ben Boardley 100% 65.1 0.1 0.1 96.9%
Joshua Temeles 100% 73.5 92.7%
Jason Juarez 100% 83.4 82.1%
Dillon Pottschmidt 100% 104.5 48.2%
Josiah Railton 100% 104.5 45.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mariano Retzloff 100% 3.8 9.6 10.6 14.7 18.1 17.8 12.6 7.9 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Carter Kaser 100% 7.2 0.4 0.9 2.4 4.1 8.6 13.5 17.6 17.8 12.7 9.9 6.5 2.5 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ben Boardley 100% 12.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 3.6 5.7 9.2 12.6 12.9 11.5 8.9 8.4 5.5 4.6 3.8 3.2 2.0 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.6 100.0%
Joshua Temeles 100% 14.6 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.6 4.7 6.1 8.5 11.5 9.9 8.4 8.0 6.3 6.8 5.1 4.1 3.3 3.2 2.2 2.1 1.6 100.0%
Jason Juarez 100% 17.9 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.8 5.1 5.6 6.6 8.4 7.4 7.7 6.4 6.5 6.4 5.9 5.5 4.4 3.7 3.0 100.0%
Dillon Pottschmidt 100% 25.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.0 2.3 3.1 3.5 4.4 4.6 4.4 5.8 6.0 4.8 4.9 100.0%
Josiah Railton 100% 26.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.7 3.0 3.6 3.1 4.1 4.9 3.6 5.4 5.2 6.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mariano Retzloff 1.2 42.4 42.5 13.2 1.7 0.3
Carter Kaser 2.8 1.7 13.9 41.1 33.9 6.4 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1
Ben Boardley 5.5 0.2 1.2 10.5 28.3 20.0 13.7 9.9 7.3 4.0 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.2
Joshua Temeles 6.8 0.2 3.8 14.2 18.6 16.9 13.7 9.6 8.6 6.6 4.4 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
Jason Juarez 8.8 0.8 2.8 8.0 14.2 12.9 14.6 13.2 10.1 9.4 7.1 4.1 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
Dillon Pottschmidt 12.8 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.1 5.6 6.6 9.7 10.8 14.8 16.7 16.4 10.0 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.2
Josiah Railton 12.9 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.1 7.6 8.7 11.3 14.6 17.9 15.4 11.0 2.7 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1