Shelbyville
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #132
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #40
Shelbyville Regional Rank #7
Franklin Community Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 8.6%
Advance to Regional 90.3%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Franklin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Whiteland Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conf. Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 924 942 963 1,106 941 919 921 899 960
Team Adjusted Rating 942 963 934 941 919 921 899 960
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Franklin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Whiteland Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conf. Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
267  Matt Baker 12 17:09 17:03 17:12 17:26 17:13 17:01 17:10 17:08 17:03 17:10
758  Joe Lux 12 17:58 18:08 17:54 17:39 18:02 17:53 18:08 17:56 18:08
1,398  Michael Lay 12 18:45 18:38 18:33 18:28 18:52 18:27 18:49 18:51 19:38
1,447  Michael Fox 10 18:49 18:28 18:39 19:00 19:30 18:51 19:11 18:29 18:40
1,575  Taige Mummert 11 18:57 19:34 20:15 18:53 18:41 19:12 18:32 18:42 19:01
Elijah Von Werder 9 19:44 19:40 19:49 20:07 19:25 19:28 20:09 19:47 19:37
Tristan Maloney 9 19:44 20:49 20:19 20:30 19:35 19:20 19:40 19:24




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 8.6% 19.6 546 0.1 0.5 2.1 6.0
Regionals 90.3% 7.3 188 0.2 8.4 17.2 23.4 23.1 18.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.8 145 0.2 25.1 65.0 9.6 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Baker 100% 82.1 100.0% 100.0%
Joe Lux 76.5% 147.9 74.3% 76.4%
Michael Lay 8.6% 168.4 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Fox 8.6% 170.0 0.0% 0.1%
Taige Mummert 8.6% 172.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Baker 100% 14.4 0.2 0.4 1.5 3.2 3.7 5.9 7.6 9.9 12.2 13.1 12.3 11.9 9.2 4.9 2.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Joe Lux 100% 28.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.8 3.4 4.3 6.0 7.0 100.0% 100.0%
Michael Lay 95.6% 54.2 54.9% 75.8%
Michael Fox 93.9% 56.2 37.4% 63.1%
Taige Mummert 91.0% 60.1 7.7% 38.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Baker 11.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.5 5.4 7.7 11.9 15.4 19.1 16.0 16.0 4.0 1.3 0.2
Joe Lux 19.8 0.1 0.3 1.9 5.2 10.6 11.8 11.6 11.1 11.4 10.0 8.1 7.4 4.2
Michael Lay 34.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4
Michael Fox 36.7 0.1 0.2
Taige Mummert 39.9 0.1