All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Tippecanoe Valley Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
West Noble Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/24 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
361 |
308 |
377 |
613 |
339 |
423 |
383 |
302 |
348 |
395 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
308 |
377 |
613 |
339 |
376 |
383 |
302 |
348 |
395 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Tippecanoe Valley Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
West Noble Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 55 |
Colten Cripe |
12 |
16:23 |
16:22 |
16:27 |
16:24 |
16:13 |
16:18 |
16:30 |
16:21 |
16:16 |
16:41 |
| 139 |
Abraham Longoria |
12 |
16:48 |
16:34 |
16:47 |
17:38 |
16:37 |
16:49 |
16:57 |
16:34 |
16:44 |
16:57 |
| 169 |
Nathan Mast |
12 |
16:52 |
16:37 |
16:44 |
17:42 |
16:55 |
|
17:12 |
16:49 |
16:40 |
17:00 |
| 235 |
Austin Cripe |
9 |
17:03 |
16:56 |
17:11 |
17:55 |
17:07 |
17:13 |
16:58 |
16:46 |
17:23 |
17:05 |
| 328 |
Grant Flora |
9 |
17:16 |
17:05 |
17:37 |
17:57 |
17:10 |
17:19 |
17:06 |
16:59 |
17:13 |
17:40 |
| 365 |
Cameron Dupuy |
10 |
17:19 |
18:11 |
17:23 |
18:18 |
17:27 |
17:44 |
|
17:16 |
17:12 |
17:12 |
| 444 |
Isaac Flora |
11 |
17:29 |
17:25 |
17:30 |
18:15 |
17:08 |
17:29 |
17:34 |
17:17 |
17:30 |
17:44 |
| 764 |
Michael Weaver |
12 |
17:58 |
|
18:13 |
18:52 |
17:57 |
17:34 |
17:51 |
|
|
|
| 1,197 |
Ryan Reyes |
12 |
18:31 |
18:37 |
|
18:20 |
18:41 |
18:32 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
64.2% |
17.1 |
405 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
5.2 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
0.9 |
| Semi-State |
96.2% |
5.9 |
191 |
|
0.4 |
3.4 |
22.3 |
21.1 |
17.1 |
12.1 |
9.5 |
5.7 |
3.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.6 |
103 |
|
3.8 |
54.4 |
26.8 |
11.3 |
3.2 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
40 |
88.2 |
11.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Colten Cripe |
80.0% |
51.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
44.2% |
70.0% |
| Abraham Longoria |
64.2% |
104.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
5.3% |
| Nathan Mast |
64.2% |
115.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
2.3% |
| Austin Cripe |
64.2% |
140.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Grant Flora |
64.2% |
164.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Cameron Dupuy |
64.2% |
169.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Isaac Flora |
64.2% |
181.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Colten Cripe |
100% |
19.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
4.7 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Abraham Longoria |
99.0% |
41.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
74.0% |
97.7% |
| Nathan Mast |
98.1% |
46.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
49.4% |
93.1% |
| Austin Cripe |
96.3% |
59.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.9% |
71.2% |
| Grant Flora |
96.2% |
78.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
30.3% |
| Cameron Dupuy |
96.2% |
84.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
22.6% |
| Isaac Flora |
96.2% |
99.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
5.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Colten Cripe |
100% |
10.2 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
5.1 |
7.5 |
8.5 |
10.6 |
7.8 |
9.5 |
9.9 |
8.6 |
7.5 |
6.0 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Abraham Longoria |
100% |
19.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
5.4 |
8.2 |
8.4 |
9.3 |
11.4 |
10.3 |
9.1 |
5.6 |
4.2 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Nathan Mast |
100% |
21.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
7.3 |
8.4 |
10.6 |
9.0 |
6.2 |
7.7 |
5.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Austin Cripe |
100% |
27.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
4.2 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
7.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Grant Flora |
100% |
36.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Cameron Dupuy |
100% |
39.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Isaac Flora |
100% |
46.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Colten Cripe |
2.6 |
1.8 |
32.1 |
28.5 |
26.0 |
9.5 |
1.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abraham Longoria |
6.1 |
|
|
1.8 |
5.2 |
16.3 |
23.9 |
22.8 |
14.6 |
8.8 |
4.0 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nathan Mast |
6.9 |
|
|
0.7 |
2.1 |
8.9 |
17.6 |
22.1 |
19.5 |
13.9 |
7.7 |
4.4 |
2.1 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Austin Cripe |
9.5 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
5.0 |
14.0 |
18.9 |
18.8 |
15.6 |
11.1 |
6.8 |
3.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Grant Flora |
12.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
3.3 |
6.3 |
11.7 |
14.4 |
15.6 |
14.1 |
12.7 |
8.6 |
6.3 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Cameron Dupuy |
13.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
4.1 |
6.2 |
9.3 |
14.0 |
17.0 |
15.3 |
12.9 |
9.4 |
5.0 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
| Isaac Flora |
16.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
5.3 |
6.8 |
11.7 |
16.7 |
15.7 |
15.0 |
9.2 |
7.8 |
5.4 |
2.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
