Austin
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #44
Brown County Semi-State Rank #8
Brown County Regional Rank #3
Southwestern (Hanover Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 10.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Austin Invitational Salem Invitational Columbus North Invitational Scottsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Duke Meyer Invitational Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/31 9/7 9/10 9/14 9/21 9/27 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 494 438 401 481 967 516 510 1,161 666 479 521
Team Adjusted Rating 438 401 481 499 516 510 494 536 479 521
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Austin Invitational Salem Invitational Columbus North Invitational Scottsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Duke Meyer Invitational Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State
77  Philipp Tabert 11 16:29 16:31 16:11 16:15 16:27 16:37 16:36 16:38
160  Wyatt Beck 10 16:51 16:46 16:53 16:50 16:42 16:45 17:16 16:57 16:45
414  Chance Craig 10 17:26 17:49 17:24 17:33 17:36 17:21 17:21 17:12 17:31
438  Brandon Rice 9 17:28 17:28 17:12 17:25 17:32 17:34 17:41 17:34 17:20 17:29
705  Brady Watts 9 17:53 17:26 17:35 17:49 18:05 17:54 17:59 17:52 18:04
792  Josiah White 12 18:01 17:11 17:12 18:08 18:00 18:19 18:23
1,053  Kyler Davidson 9 18:22 18:03 18:21 18:30 18:23 18:31 18:18 18:13 18:19 18:33
1,473  Xavier Rahe 11 18:51 18:21 18:03 18:51 18:44 18:02 18:56 19:21 18:46 19:45 19:03
Connor Neace 10 19:02 18:59 19:11 18:43 19:12 18:59 18:49 19:20
Luke Watts 12 19:42 20:20 19:46 19:16 19:45 19:43 19:45
Anthony Richko 12 21:01 21:34 18:41 21:02 21:27 21:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 10.3% 22.1 503 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.6 2.0 2.7
Semi-State 100% 8.0 242 0.3 0.8 2.0 7.2 22.3 32.7 25.9 6.5 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.9 77 12.0 86.5 1.6
Sectionals 100% 1.9 38 11.9 88.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Philipp Tabert 92.4% 70.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 91.5% 92.4%
Wyatt Beck 28.9% 103.6 20.8% 26.5%
Chance Craig 10.3% 166.6 0.0% 0.1%
Brandon Rice 10.3% 172.3 0.0% 0.0%
Brady Watts 10.3% 193.9 0.0% 0.0%
Josiah White 10.3% 198.4 0.0% 0.0%
Kyler Davidson 10.3% 205.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Philipp Tabert 100% 13.7 0.4 1.2 1.8 2.2 3.5 3.3 5.4 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.7 7.2 5.6 5.4 5.9 4.6 4.0 4.0 3.4 3.1 2.9 2.1 2.0 1.4 100.0%
Wyatt Beck 100% 33.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.0 2.4 2.2 3.0 100.0%
Chance Craig 100% 78.8 99.8%
Brandon Rice 100% 82.2 99.4%
Brady Watts 100% 117.3 73.5%
Josiah White 100% 128.3 49.2%
Kyler Davidson 100% 148.0 5.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Philipp Tabert 100% 4.3 2.3 10.9 15.8 16.7 14.9 12.6 9.4 8.0 4.4 3.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Wyatt Beck 100% 10.2 0.7 1.3 2.9 5.3 6.2 8.1 10.3 12.1 13.5 14.0 10.8 7.9 4.5 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Chance Craig 100% 19.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.9 4.3 6.0 9.2 11.1 13.1 12.5 11.7 7.9 6.8 4.5 2.6 100.0%
Brandon Rice 100% 20.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.7 4.2 7.2 8.4 10.8 12.0 10.9 10.6 7.4 6.7 5.1 100.0%
Brady Watts 100% 29.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.3 3.1 4.2 5.5 100.0%
Josiah White 100% 33.7 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 100.0%
Kyler Davidson 100% 42.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Philipp Tabert 1.4 36.0 34.4 22.7 6.8 0.3
Wyatt Beck 4.0 0.1 3.8 13.6 33.1 42.5 5.9 1.1 0.2
Chance Craig 7.9 0.2 1.2 10.9 19.6 20.3 18.6 12.8 8.8 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
Brandon Rice 8.4 0.7 8.9 15.3 17.7 17.9 17.5 11.4 5.6 2.3 1.9 0.5 0.4 0.1
Brady Watts 14.2 0.2 0.9 3.0 7.0 10.7 11.7 13.7 14.5 11.8 10.7 7.4 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.6 0.1
Josiah White 16.6 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.7 6.4 8.2 9.3 12.5 12.9 14.2 14.0 9.1 4.2 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.1
Kyler Davidson 21.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 4.0 7.8 15.1 17.4 15.6 13.0 8.3 6.5