Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #18
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #4
New Prairie Regional Rank #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 18th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 7.5%
Advance to State Finals 96.7%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 339 376 378 406 515 355 353 485 354 341
Team Adjusted Rating 351 343 363 459 343 353 485 354 341
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
75  Will Shook 12 16:28 16:25 16:18 16:36 17:12 16:24 16:36 16:48 16:32 16:21
151  Travis Kanarski 12 16:50 17:11 17:19 17:04 17:02 16:58 17:30 17:04 16:43
159  Matthew Streeter 11 16:51 17:29 17:00 16:57 17:34 16:39 16:53
171  Dylan Draves 12 16:53 16:58 16:49 16:52 16:43 16:51 17:02 16:42 17:12
240  Cole Dolson 10 17:04 17:01 17:09 17:34 17:03 17:00 17:17 17:18 16:57
265  Adam Juestel 12 17:08 17:02 17:00 17:12 16:52 16:58 17:28 17:16 17:21
412  Jackson Tuck 9 17:26 17:42 17:32 17:24 17:29 17:10 17:34 17:24
502  Josh Tuck 9 17:35 17:48 17:50 17:42 17:53 17:49 17:11
504  Josh Dennington 11 17:35 17:31 17:16 18:26 17:34 17:33
875  Reece Erow 10 18:07 17:54 17:50 18:24 18:34 17:58
886  Ian Woodard 12 18:08 18:18 18:51 18:03 17:50
997  Ethan Mohoi 11 18:17 18:04 18:19 18:17 18:10 18:30
1,067  Billy Clinkert 10 18:23 18:30 18:30 18:11 18:23 18:24
1,133  Bridger Fowler 9 18:26 18:37 18:32 18:23 18:22
1,265  Ryan Schlyer 11 18:36 18:24 19:11 18:33 18:19 18:42
Brendan Hoch 11 19:19 18:53 19:45 18:55 19:18 19:42
Jett Lloyd 12 21:38 17:18 23:33 22:09 21:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 96.7% 17.2 409 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.3 2.1 3.5 3.6 5.1 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.6 8.2 7.7 6.3 7.5 8.0 6.5 5.3
Semi-State 100% 3.4 119 12.9 17.2 21.9 23.2 16.7 5.0 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.7 51 33.7 59.0 6.4 1.1
Sectionals 100% 1.8 50 32.7 60.5 5.8 1.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Shook 99.4% 69.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 80.3% 97.9%
Travis Kanarski 96.8% 118.6 1.5% 52.5%
Matthew Streeter 96.7% 120.0 0.0% 50.4%
Dylan Draves 96.7% 125.9 0.1 0.0% 43.1%
Cole Dolson 96.7% 149.5 0.0% 12.8%
Adam Juestel 96.7% 157.9 0.0% 6.9%
Jackson Tuck 96.7% 182.6 0.0% 0.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Shook 100% 8.5 0.1 1.3 9.3 11.7 12.5 10.5 9.4 7.7 6.4 6.1 4.7 3.8 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.2 1.2 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.7 0.5 100.0%
Travis Kanarski 100% 25.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.6 1.5 2.9 3.6 2.7 2.5 3.4 2.6 3.0 2.5 3.7 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.7 2.8 100.0%
Matthew Streeter 100% 25.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.5 1.6 2.3 3.1 2.7 3.3 3.5 2.8 3.4 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.0 3.2 2.6 100.0%
Dylan Draves 100% 28.9 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.1 3.0 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.1 2.9 3.1 2.4 2.5 100.0%
Cole Dolson 100% 44.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.5 99.3%
Adam Juestel 100% 50.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 98.6%
Jackson Tuck 100% 75.5 0.1 0.1 76.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Shook 100% 2.0 15.5 34.2 18.2 10.7 7.5 4.8 2.5 2.0 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Travis Kanarski 100% 9.6 0.5 3.3 5.9 6.2 6.7 7.3 7.8 8.7 6.6 6.6 5.6 5.7 5.5 4.8 3.9 3.8 3.4 2.6 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 100.0%
Matthew Streeter 100% 10.4 0.5 2.5 4.6 5.7 6.4 6.2 7.4 6.4 7.3 7.7 6.7 7.0 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.2 3.5 2.7 2.1 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 100.0%
Dylan Draves 100% 11.4 0.2 1.6 2.8 5.0 5.5 7.2 6.2 6.5 6.9 6.2 5.9 6.8 6.4 5.6 5.4 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.6 2.1 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.8 100.0%
Cole Dolson 100% 18.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.4 3.2 2.6 3.8 4.2 5.2 5.5 5.7 6.2 6.9 6.1 6.9 7.7 7.1 6.7 4.6 3.2 100.0%
Adam Juestel 100% 20.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.6 3.5 2.5 4.2 5.1 6.3 6.7 5.8 8.5 6.7 8.2 8.0 5.9 100.0%
Jackson Tuck 100% 28.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.6 5.2 5.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Shook 2.0 15.1 36.2 17.5 12.4 6.3 4.2 2.8 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1
Travis Kanarski 9.0 0.8 3.3 6.0 6.5 8.6 8.3 8.6 8.4 6.4 7.4 7.8 5.5 4.6 5.3 4.1 2.6 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
Matthew Streeter 9.5 0.3 3.4 4.8 7.2 7.3 8.5 7.8 7.5 7.2 7.4 6.6 7.3 5.0 5.7 4.4 3.3 2.1 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1
Dylan Draves 10.7 0.1 1.9 3.8 4.7 6.0 6.4 6.7 6.5 8.3 8.0 8.2 6.7 6.6 6.6 5.1 4.5 3.6 2.3 2.2 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.2
Cole Dolson 16.6 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.5 2.2 3.1 3.6 4.2 4.4 5.6 6.0 5.9 8.1 7.4 9.0 9.1 8.0 7.3 5.1 4.0 2.0 1.2
Adam Juestel 18.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.2 0.9 1.5 2.6 2.6 2.8 4.6 5.1 6.7 7.2 9.0 9.4 10.5 9.5 7.6 5.8 4.7 2.8
Jackson Tuck 24.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.4 2.9 5.5 6.6 10.7 10.0 11.4