Churubusco
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #137
New Haven Semi-State Rank #41
West Noble Regional Rank #13
West Noble Sectional Rank #13
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 72.4%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional
Date 9/7 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19
Team Rating 948 927 1,041 1,077 972 940
Team Adjusted Rating 927 998 942 972 940
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional
551  Sam Keily 12 17:39 17:36 17:34 17:29 17:46 17:47
569  Eli Lantz 11 17:40 18:05 18:07 17:40 17:35 17:23
934  Levi Skinner 11 18:12 17:48 18:29 18:19 18:10
1,350  Shawn Prater 12 18:42 18:33 18:40 18:39 18:42 18:56
Dylan Stroder 10 19:44 19:38 19:53 19:52 19:34
Kyle Brandt 11 20:01 20:14 20:16 19:51 19:57 20:02
Wyatt Neireiter 9 21:05 21:25 21:27 20:36
Korbyn Reister 12 21:22 20:40 22:11
Cody Graft 12 21:43 23:15 20:19 21:44 21:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 72.4% 9.6 264 0.1 30.1 42.3
Sectionals 100% 5.0 149 31.2 41.2 21.7 5.9 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Keily 0.9% 90.0 0.9% 0.9%
Eli Lantz 0.5% 96.5 0.5% 0.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Keily 100% 53.1 100.0% 100.0%
Eli Lantz 100% 53.6 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Levi Skinner 100% 66.9 100.0% 100.0%
Shawn Prater 82.3% 78.8 35.9% 70.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Keily 18.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.4 1.6 2.7 3.8 5.3 8.2 14.4 18.8 21.3 12.3 6.9 2.8 0.3 0.2
Eli Lantz 19.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 2.4 2.6 4.6 8.0 12.7 17.3 19.7 16.1 9.3 3.9 0.6 0.3
Levi Skinner 24.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.5 6.2 13.3 18.8 15.5
Shawn Prater 35.1 0.1 0.1 0.7